overview_results
Laura Menicacci
2024-01-26
Count very carefully where we even have zeros and how many they are
## New names:
## • `` -> `...1`
Table format
Number of zero counts by country, in descending order.
| ISO | n |
|---|---|
| BRA | 23 |
| SGP | 22 |
| NOR | 10 |
| IND | 9 |
| TWN | 8 |
| DNK | 6 |
| BEL | 5 |
| CHN | 5 |
| FIN | 5 |
| ITA | 3 |
| RUS | 3 |
| AUT | 2 |
| CHE | 2 |
| ISR | 2 |
| CAN | 1 |
| ESP | 1 |
| KOR | 1 |
| SWE | 1 |
Plot the distributions before and after logging -> do they look more normal?
Count
Log (y+1)
Normalization with the max
Normalization with the max by technology
Normalise by max but with respect to the max of each technology.
What is the relation from 1 patent to the max patents per country?
# Calculate max Y per country
df %>%
group_by(ISO, tech) %>%
mutate(max = max(count)) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = count, y = max, colour = tech)) +
geom_point() +
geom_abline(intercept = 0, slope = 1, linetype = "dashed", colour = "darkgrey") + # 45-degree line for reference
facet_wrap(~ISO) +
labs(title = "Relationship between Y and max Y per country",
x = "Y",
y = "Max Y per country") +
theme_bw()+
theme(legend.position = "bottom")
Models comparison
- Y: Levels, Logs+1, IHS
- Controls: gdp, pop
- AR 1
- IIS=ON
- p-val = 0.01, 0.05
- Sample: top_25
Green technologies
top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:38:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4402e-01 9.0526e-03 104.2807 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.0045e-13 1.3446e-13 -2.2345 0.0258757 *
pop 1.9659e-07 1.1923e-07 1.6489 0.0997818 .
idAUT 9.2670e+00 1.9399e+01 0.4777 0.6330589
idBEL -1.5811e+00 1.9387e+01 -0.0816 0.9350344
idBRA -4.2170e+01 2.7903e+01 -1.5113 0.1313144
idCAN 2.4270e+01 1.9520e+01 1.2434 0.2142924
idCHE 3.9639e+00 1.9404e+01 0.2043 0.8382173
idCHN -1.9121e+02 1.5112e+02 -1.2653 0.2063260
idDEU 2.5009e+02 3.0483e+01 8.2042 1.842e-15 ***
idDNK 1.4380e+01 1.9434e+01 0.7400 0.4596529
idESP -4.2392e+00 1.9532e+01 -0.2170 0.8282637
idFIN -2.9649e-01 1.9436e+01 -0.0153 0.9878344
idFRA 7.0817e+01 2.1039e+01 3.3659 0.0008193 ***
idGBR 4.1807e+01 2.0429e+01 2.0464 0.0412163 *
idIND -1.9312e+02 1.3856e+02 -1.3938 0.1639824
idISR -2.0905e-01 1.9415e+01 -0.0108 0.9914131
idITA 1.1416e+01 1.9900e+01 0.5737 0.5664519
idJPN 5.1849e+02 7.4534e+01 6.9564 1.055e-11 ***
idKOR 3.2796e+02 1.1693e+02 2.8047 0.0052255 **
idNLD 1.3179e+01 1.9368e+01 0.6804 0.4965321
idNOR -4.2452e+00 1.9479e+01 -0.2179 0.8275607
idRUS -1.1121e+01 2.4549e+01 -0.4530 0.6507194
idSGP -6.4416e+00 1.9475e+01 -0.3308 0.7409518
idSWE 9.7711e+00 1.9401e+01 0.5036 0.6147317
idTWN 3.8355e+01 1.9520e+01 1.9649 0.0499588 *
idUSA 3.2532e+02 4.7210e+01 6.8909 1.612e-11 ***
time1996 -1.0506e+01 1.9127e+01 -0.5493 0.5830693
time1997 -1.3473e+01 1.9102e+01 -0.7053 0.4809261
time1998 -4.9759e+00 1.9112e+01 -0.2604 0.7946902
time1999 3.8197e+00 1.9246e+01 0.1985 0.8427585
time2000 1.3300e+01 1.9245e+01 0.6911 0.4898242
time2001 6.2724e+00 1.9082e+01 0.3287 0.7425127
time2002 -7.7140e+00 1.9103e+01 -0.4038 0.6865179
time2003 -1.0733e+01 1.9357e+01 -0.5545 0.5795093
time2004 2.9823e+01 1.9189e+01 1.5541 0.1207596
time2005 2.1698e+01 1.9173e+01 1.1317 0.2582865
time2006 3.9547e+01 1.9204e+01 2.0593 0.0399672 *
time2007 5.8635e+01 1.9464e+01 3.0125 0.0027178 **
time2008 3.0360e+01 1.9319e+01 1.5715 0.1166771
time2009 5.7072e+01 1.9620e+01 2.9088 0.0037834 **
time2010 6.3151e+01 1.9770e+01 3.1943 0.0014867 **
time2011 2.9744e+01 1.9891e+01 1.4954 0.1354151
time2012 -5.5563e+00 1.9957e+01 -0.2784 0.7808060
time2013 -2.2741e+01 2.0194e+01 -1.1261 0.2606332
time2014 -1.3325e+01 1.9850e+01 -0.6713 0.5023334
time2015 -1.0729e+01 1.9889e+01 -0.5394 0.5898175
time2016 1.4199e+01 1.9840e+01 0.7157 0.4745066
time2017 2.7943e+01 2.0167e+01 1.3856 0.1664773
time2018 1.5163e+01 2.0033e+01 0.7569 0.4494649
time2019 -4.2608e+01 2.0224e+01 -2.1068 0.0356184 *
iis165 8.7494e+02 7.3253e+01 11.9441 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 6.7907e+02 7.5175e+01 9.0333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 5.1781e+02 7.7200e+01 6.7073 5.193e-11 ***
iis168 4.1987e+02 7.9158e+01 5.3042 1.678e-07 ***
iis186 -4.9400e+02 7.0766e+01 -6.9808 9.009e-12 ***
iis388 4.4298e+02 7.2652e+01 6.0973 2.107e-09 ***
iis389 5.4576e+02 7.1965e+01 7.5836 1.562e-13 ***
iis392 3.4877e+02 7.1720e+01 4.8629 1.535e-06 ***
iis398 7.2681e+02 8.2408e+01 8.8197 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 1.9803e+03 8.1123e+01 24.4116 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 1.0825e+03 7.9015e+01 13.7004 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -2.8295e+02 7.9143e+01 -3.5752 0.0003826 ***
iis408 -1.5275e+03 7.9131e+01 -19.3033 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -5.6584e+02 7.3268e+01 -7.7229 5.900e-14 ***
iis430 -5.0421e+02 7.4768e+01 -6.7437 4.127e-11 ***
iis588 3.2084e+02 7.4206e+01 4.3236 1.841e-05 ***
iis593 8.7062e+02 8.3942e+01 10.3717 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 5.8448e+02 8.3955e+01 6.9618 1.019e-11 ***
iis595 -8.3691e+02 8.4174e+01 -9.9426 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 -4.3048e+02 8.3878e+01 -5.1322 4.055e-07 ***
iis599 -4.0598e+02 8.3909e+01 -4.8384 1.729e-06 ***
iis600 -6.9004e+02 8.4194e+01 -8.1959 1.958e-15 ***
fesisCHN.2008 2.5303e+02 3.3536e+01 7.5448 2.044e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -1.6932e+02 5.5763e+01 -3.0363 0.0025152 **
fesisJPN.2016 3.8196e+02 5.6161e+01 6.8011 2.866e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.9984e+02 5.8570e+01 5.1193 4.327e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 6.4805e+02 6.1497e+01 10.5380 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -3.3314e+02 6.5705e+01 -5.0702 5.538e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2005 4.0535e+02 4.4682e+01 9.0720 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -3.4765e+02 5.9921e+01 -5.8018 1.142e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.6435 1 0.104
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.4276 1 2.07e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 66.9905
R-squared 0.9988
Log-lik.(n=600) -3333.5934 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:38:10 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2256e-01 8.6311e-03 106.8880 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.6035e-13 1.3633e-13 -1.1762 0.2400737
pop 1.6959e-07 9.2716e-08 1.8291 0.0679768 .
idAUT 9.6429e+00 1.4584e+01 0.6612 0.5087921
idBEL -3.0856e+00 1.4577e+01 -0.2117 0.8324395
idBRA -4.0826e+01 2.1351e+01 -1.9121 0.0564307 .
idCAN 2.9774e+01 1.4729e+01 2.0215 0.0437598 *
idCHE 3.9505e+00 1.4588e+01 0.2708 0.7866547
idCHN -1.5790e+02 1.1698e+02 -1.3498 0.1776805
idDEU 2.2039e+02 2.4100e+01 9.1447 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK 1.4745e+01 1.4615e+01 1.0089 0.3135167
idESP -3.9985e+00 1.4694e+01 -0.2721 0.7856418
idFIN -1.6658e+00 1.4613e+01 -0.1140 0.9092887
idFRA 8.7044e+01 1.6260e+01 5.3532 1.314e-07 ***
idGBR 5.3076e+01 1.5577e+01 3.4072 0.0007086 ***
idIND -1.7149e+02 1.0634e+02 -1.6127 0.1074397
idISR -1.5669e+00 1.4598e+01 -0.1073 0.9145664
idITA 1.5648e+01 1.5001e+01 1.0431 0.2973868
idJPN 4.2034e+02 7.1913e+01 5.8451 9.089e-09 ***
idKOR 2.1077e+02 1.1694e+02 1.8023 0.0720895 .
idNLD 1.5318e+01 1.4569e+01 1.0514 0.2935651
idNOR -7.3750e+00 1.4663e+01 -0.5030 0.6152062
idRUS -1.9469e+01 1.8854e+01 -1.0326 0.3022892
idSGP -9.5205e+00 1.4655e+01 -0.6496 0.5162274
idSWE 1.0023e+01 1.4592e+01 0.6868 0.4925037
idTWN 4.4700e+01 1.4754e+01 3.0297 0.0025734 **
idUSA 3.7863e+02 3.7673e+01 10.0504 < 2.2e-16 ***
time1996 -4.3646e+00 1.4414e+01 -0.3028 0.7621705
time1997 -6.8752e+00 1.4386e+01 -0.4779 0.6329138
time1998 -5.8236e+00 1.4510e+01 -0.4014 0.6883212
time1999 7.5704e+00 1.4485e+01 0.5226 0.6014559
time2000 1.7340e+01 1.4480e+01 1.1975 0.2316919
time2001 1.6076e+01 1.4376e+01 1.1183 0.2639915
time2002 2.4549e+00 1.4400e+01 0.1705 0.8647042
time2003 -4.7497e+00 1.4615e+01 -0.3250 0.7453304
time2004 2.6894e+01 1.4610e+01 1.8408 0.0662360 .
time2005 1.8973e+01 1.4568e+01 1.3024 0.1933794
time2006 3.8021e+01 1.4471e+01 2.6275 0.0088640 **
time2007 4.1802e+01 1.4779e+01 2.8284 0.0048637 **
time2008 3.2323e+01 1.4602e+01 2.2136 0.0273047 *
time2009 5.1300e+01 1.4905e+01 3.4418 0.0006259 ***
time2010 6.5413e+01 1.5043e+01 4.3484 1.660e-05 ***
time2011 3.1848e+01 1.5108e+01 2.1080 0.0355243 *
time2012 1.7423e+01 1.5271e+01 1.1410 0.2544247
time2013 -1.2657e+01 1.5306e+01 -0.8269 0.4086717
time2014 -1.0025e+01 1.5151e+01 -0.6617 0.5084754
time2015 -1.0436e+01 1.5261e+01 -0.6838 0.4943971
time2016 6.9198e+00 1.5126e+01 0.4575 0.6475317
time2017 3.2743e+01 1.5228e+01 2.1502 0.0320167 *
time2018 2.5990e+01 1.5204e+01 1.7094 0.0879835 .
time2019 -7.1808e+00 1.5459e+01 -0.4645 0.6424830
iis164 2.2146e+02 5.5513e+01 3.9894 7.604e-05 ***
iis165 9.3417e+02 5.5970e+01 16.6906 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 7.4842e+02 5.8235e+01 12.8519 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 5.9808e+02 6.0697e+01 9.8535 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 4.8776e+02 6.3099e+01 7.7301 5.853e-14 ***
iis186 -2.3819e+02 7.2843e+01 -3.2699 0.0011491 **
iis192 -5.3214e+02 5.6648e+01 -9.3938 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis387 2.0859e+02 5.6913e+01 3.6650 0.0002735 ***
iis388 5.4409e+02 5.6379e+01 9.6505 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis389 6.5911e+02 5.5692e+01 11.8349 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis392 4.7631e+02 5.5559e+01 8.5732 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis393 3.6236e+02 5.5832e+01 6.4901 2.052e-10 ***
iis394 3.0944e+02 5.6326e+01 5.4938 6.246e-08 ***
iis396 4.1533e+02 5.6733e+01 7.3208 9.787e-13 ***
iis398 3.1434e+02 6.2412e+01 5.0365 6.609e-07 ***
iis399 1.5717e+03 6.1000e+01 25.7649 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 7.1472e+02 5.9691e+01 11.9738 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -4.1024e+02 6.0599e+01 -6.7697 3.592e-11 ***
iis402 -6.5017e+02 6.0026e+01 -10.8316 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis403 -2.6125e+02 5.9566e+01 -4.3859 1.406e-05 ***
iis404 -4.4789e+02 5.9505e+01 -7.5268 2.405e-13 ***
iis408 -1.5544e+03 5.9572e+01 -26.0929 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 4.2218e+02 6.4709e+01 6.5242 1.664e-10 ***
iis423 2.7694e+02 5.9869e+01 4.6257 4.749e-06 ***
iis428 -8.2679e+02 7.3208e+01 -11.2936 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis430 -3.6595e+02 6.3952e+01 -5.7223 1.803e-08 ***
iis588 3.1963e+02 5.5922e+01 5.7156 1.871e-08 ***
iis593 8.3452e+02 6.3260e+01 13.1920 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 5.8012e+02 6.3170e+01 9.1836 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis595 -8.2319e+02 6.3515e+01 -12.9605 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 -4.3830e+02 6.3073e+01 -6.9491 1.139e-11 ***
iis599 -4.2875e+02 6.3156e+01 -6.7888 3.183e-11 ***
iis600 -7.4558e+02 6.3513e+01 -11.7389 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 2.5023e+02 2.6457e+01 9.4578 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.0548e+02 2.8935e+01 10.5572 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -4.5487e+02 5.6265e+01 -8.0844 4.657e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2014 2.7703e+02 5.6696e+01 4.8861 1.383e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2009 4.0755e+02 4.6626e+01 8.7408 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2003 2.8128e+02 5.3489e+01 5.2586 2.147e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.9620e+02 5.8943e+01 5.0251 6.994e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2015 2.8237e+02 6.1657e+01 4.5797 5.872e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -4.1575e+02 6.5246e+01 -6.3721 4.206e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2005 4.7901e+02 3.7315e+01 12.8369 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -2.9178e+02 4.6945e+01 -6.2154 1.073e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.1023 1 0.2937692
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.8402 1 0.0003393 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 50.35477
R-squared 0.99934
Log-lik.(n=600) -3155.31910 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:48:08 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.769612 0.018196 42.2968 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.390235 0.056716 6.8805 1.682e-11 ***
lpop -0.215523 0.168253 -1.2809 0.2007726
idAUT 0.341424 0.152789 2.2346 0.0258579 *
idBEL 0.201930 0.114969 1.7564 0.0795960 .
idBRA -0.296756 0.371767 -0.7982 0.4250928
idCAN 0.135743 0.095699 1.4184 0.1566513
idCHE 0.046312 0.160119 0.2892 0.7725145
idCHN -0.015644 0.672934 -0.0232 0.9814619
idDEU 0.567928 0.236731 2.3990 0.0167812 *
idDNK -0.573704 0.230906 -2.4846 0.0132769 *
idESP 0.160826 0.146727 1.0961 0.2735341
idFIN 0.302528 0.219440 1.3786 0.1685852
idFRA 0.383372 0.197469 1.9414 0.0527336 .
idGBR 0.367163 0.194436 1.8883 0.0595235 .
idIND -0.547010 0.648826 -0.8431 0.3995650
idISR -0.226267 0.172370 -1.3127 0.1898566
idITA 0.209131 0.184676 1.1324 0.2579663
idJPN -1.190650 0.360164 -3.3059 0.0010107 **
idKOR -1.971885 0.352445 -5.5949 3.537e-08 ***
idNLD 0.278759 0.067521 4.1285 4.239e-05 ***
idNOR -0.887766 0.265049 -3.3494 0.0008672 ***
idRUS -1.422813 0.348695 -4.0804 5.186e-05 ***
idSGP -0.330478 0.257418 -1.2838 0.1997645
idSWE -0.580115 0.161840 -3.5845 0.0003688 ***
idTWN 0.339015 0.061943 5.4730 6.826e-08 ***
idUSA 0.317565 0.434712 0.7305 0.4653946
time1996 -6.056385 2.756590 -2.1971 0.0284468 *
time1997 -6.114230 2.757661 -2.2172 0.0270327 *
time1998 -5.996418 2.758066 -2.1741 0.0301348 *
time1999 -6.049879 2.759053 -2.1927 0.0287586 *
time2000 -6.038324 2.759123 -2.1885 0.0290677 *
time2001 -6.025058 2.760218 -2.1828 0.0294856 *
time2002 -6.064921 2.761112 -2.1965 0.0284833 *
time2003 -5.988356 2.762096 -2.1680 0.0305977 *
time2004 -5.967581 2.763035 -2.1598 0.0312348 *
time2005 -5.927692 2.762579 -2.1457 0.0323480 *
time2006 -5.921121 2.763580 -2.1426 0.0326020 *
time2007 -5.884267 2.764544 -2.1285 0.0337565 *
time2008 -5.891605 2.765862 -2.1301 0.0336203 *
time2009 -5.846359 2.765983 -2.1137 0.0350088 *
time2010 -5.832698 2.767127 -2.1079 0.0355108 *
time2011 -5.856135 2.767987 -2.1157 0.0348373 *
time2012 -5.921320 2.768945 -2.1385 0.0329330 *
time2013 -6.006299 2.770248 -2.1681 0.0305903 *
time2014 -5.968390 2.771966 -2.1531 0.0317577 *
time2015 -5.996979 2.773335 -2.1624 0.0310346 *
time2016 -5.931644 2.774834 -2.1377 0.0329997 *
time2017 -5.951830 2.775936 -2.1441 0.0324790 *
time2018 -5.949825 2.777021 -2.1425 0.0326048 *
time2019 -6.050352 2.777975 -2.1780 0.0298466 *
iis83 0.751448 0.126966 5.9185 5.826e-09 ***
iis147 -0.528853 0.130606 -4.0492 5.903e-05 ***
iis204 0.402986 0.128997 3.1240 0.0018813 **
iis481 0.501227 0.129661 3.8657 0.0001245 ***
iis483 0.532419 0.130070 4.0933 4.913e-05 ***
iis485 0.632699 0.128980 4.9054 1.241e-06 ***
iis505 -0.384872 0.144550 -2.6626 0.0079896 **
iis506 -1.114263 0.145445 -7.6611 8.782e-14 ***
iis507 1.734835 0.149032 11.6407 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 0.784720 0.143640 5.4631 7.196e-08 ***
iis517 0.501190 0.128819 3.8906 0.0001127 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.174592 0.056137 -3.1101 0.0019706 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.172107 0.054791 3.1412 0.0017763 **
fesisIND.1998 -0.546548 0.124545 -4.3884 1.378e-05 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.413270 0.094738 4.3623 1.546e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.565600 0.113639 4.9772 8.728e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.365040 0.097649 -3.7383 0.0002053 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.596 1 0.0003866 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 41.246 1 1.342e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12171
R-squared 0.99425
Log-lik.(n=600) 446.29353 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 17:49:33 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.734401 0.020263 36.2429 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.311427 0.063784 4.8825 1.400e-06 ***
lpop 0.376702 0.183450 2.0534 0.0405350 *
idAUT 0.735229 0.161748 4.5455 6.837e-06 ***
idBEL 0.436595 0.119677 3.6481 0.0002911 ***
idBRA -1.632466 0.406869 -4.0123 6.906e-05 ***
idCAN -0.388175 0.143535 -2.7044 0.0070695 **
idCHE 0.533700 0.169807 3.1430 0.0017687 **
idCHN -2.433095 0.737097 -3.3009 0.0010305 **
idDEU -0.132521 0.251540 -0.5268 0.5985322
idDNK 0.251309 0.249824 1.0059 0.3149145
idESP -0.357298 0.159569 -2.2391 0.0255728 *
idFIN 0.908422 0.233716 3.8869 0.0001148 ***
idFRA -0.233257 0.210773 -1.1067 0.2689513
idGBR -0.254361 0.208184 -1.2218 0.2223388
idIND -2.712545 0.702989 -3.8586 0.0001285 ***
idISR 0.408093 0.196668 2.0750 0.0384793 *
idITA -0.405580 0.198719 -2.0410 0.0417628 *
idJPN -1.710272 0.391510 -4.3684 1.514e-05 ***
idKOR -1.905898 0.393565 -4.8426 1.697e-06 ***
idNLD 0.334587 0.067245 4.9756 8.880e-07 ***
idNOR -0.056683 0.285545 -0.1985 0.8427254
idRUS -2.582851 0.398928 -6.4745 2.222e-10 ***
idSGP 0.373011 0.270888 1.3770 0.1691132
idSWE -0.057786 0.175647 -0.3290 0.7422982
idTWN 0.011430 0.076766 0.1489 0.8816996
idUSA -0.993925 0.464856 -2.1381 0.0329757 *
time1996 -13.601210 2.971473 -4.5773 5.912e-06 ***
time1997 -13.683267 2.971917 -4.6042 5.223e-06 ***
time1998 -13.584581 2.972433 -4.5702 6.107e-06 ***
time1999 -13.600340 2.973331 -4.5741 5.998e-06 ***
time2000 -13.607423 2.973771 -4.5758 5.951e-06 ***
time2001 -13.599818 2.974812 -4.5717 6.066e-06 ***
time2002 -13.638626 2.975661 -4.5834 5.748e-06 ***
time2003 -13.544814 2.976538 -4.5505 6.682e-06 ***
time2004 -13.549867 2.977211 -4.5512 6.662e-06 ***
time2005 -13.510073 2.976201 -4.5394 7.031e-06 ***
time2006 -13.465065 2.977507 -4.5223 7.600e-06 ***
time2007 -13.435558 2.978535 -4.5108 8.007e-06 ***
time2008 -13.442490 2.979798 -4.5112 7.992e-06 ***
time2009 -13.392850 2.978618 -4.4963 8.549e-06 ***
time2010 -13.376183 2.979729 -4.4891 8.834e-06 ***
time2011 -13.397316 2.980521 -4.4950 8.602e-06 ***
time2012 -13.463162 2.981462 -4.5156 7.833e-06 ***
time2013 -13.539470 2.983027 -4.5388 7.048e-06 ***
time2014 -13.518845 2.984845 -4.5292 7.366e-06 ***
time2015 -13.559281 2.986381 -4.5404 6.999e-06 ***
time2016 -13.497861 2.988053 -4.5173 7.775e-06 ***
time2017 -13.517963 2.989199 -4.5223 7.600e-06 ***
time2018 -13.516773 2.990348 -4.5201 7.674e-06 ***
time2019 -13.618130 2.991349 -4.5525 6.622e-06 ***
iis83 0.737677 0.114040 6.4686 2.304e-10 ***
iis98 0.302275 0.114582 2.6381 0.0085903 **
iis147 -0.398100 0.125074 -3.1829 0.0015460 **
iis193 -0.327964 0.119588 -2.7424 0.0063109 **
iis196 -0.246404 0.119409 -2.0635 0.0395634 *
iis204 0.382657 0.116764 3.2772 0.0011192 **
iis317 0.342899 0.117951 2.9071 0.0038049 **
iis344 -0.436742 0.116616 -3.7451 0.0002006 ***
iis345 0.311159 0.116885 2.6621 0.0080085 **
iis354 -0.295719 0.117002 -2.5275 0.0117867 *
iis459 0.455437 0.114430 3.9800 7.880e-05 ***
iis481 0.653684 0.158133 4.1338 4.166e-05 ***
iis483 0.470513 0.118691 3.9642 8.406e-05 ***
iis485 0.586335 0.117257 5.0004 7.857e-07 ***
iis490 0.356391 0.114696 3.1073 0.0019924 **
iis505 -0.404391 0.130312 -3.1033 0.0020192 **
iis506 -1.135558 0.131463 -8.6379 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 1.674381 0.136666 12.2517 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 0.762091 0.129087 5.9037 6.455e-09 ***
iis517 0.501435 0.115789 4.3306 1.788e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.241990 0.052206 -4.6352 4.524e-06 ***
fesisCAN.1997 0.255212 0.114823 2.2226 0.0266729 *
fesisCHN.2001 0.207825 0.073840 2.8145 0.0050721 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.212240 0.067586 3.1403 0.0017848 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.341926 0.119352 2.8649 0.0043424 **
fesisDNK.2006 -0.493956 0.158005 -3.1262 0.0018708 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.289969 0.116627 2.4863 0.0132242 *
fesisIND.1998 -0.526889 0.111981 -4.7052 3.264e-06 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.412191 0.087488 4.7114 3.170e-06 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.170195 0.056328 -3.0215 0.0026404 **
fesisRUS.1998 0.259490 0.118659 2.1869 0.0292025 *
fesisSGP.2003 0.567390 0.102107 5.5568 4.412e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.420868 0.089249 -4.7156 3.107e-06 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.272802 0.067631 4.0337 6.323e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.5945 1 0.1072322
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.8047 1 0.0002028 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.10920
R-squared 0.99552
Log-lik.(n=600) 519.85787 Ihs Count
0.01
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:44:56 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.761493 0.018105 42.0604 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 0.408137 0.057372 7.1139 3.654e-12 ***
ihs_pop -0.213375 0.171761 -1.2423 0.2146808
idAUT 0.368088 0.156224 2.3562 0.0188260 *
idBEL 0.219520 0.117526 1.8678 0.0623341 .
idBRA -0.337224 0.380277 -0.8868 0.3755946
idCAN 0.135063 0.097707 1.3823 0.1674531
idCHE 0.061462 0.163704 0.3754 0.7074778
idCHN -0.075900 0.688019 -0.1103 0.9121994
idDEU 0.572173 0.241387 2.3704 0.0181257 *
idDNK -0.584026 0.235375 -2.4813 0.0133995 *
idESP 0.158873 0.149814 1.0605 0.2894098
idFIN 0.333708 0.224409 1.4871 0.1375923
idFRA 0.384334 0.201476 1.9076 0.0569812 .
idGBR 0.368860 0.198370 1.8595 0.0635139 .
idIND -0.615287 0.663820 -0.9269 0.3544037
idISR -0.223670 0.175987 -1.2709 0.2043017
idITA 0.205337 0.188579 1.0889 0.2767045
idJPN -1.273849 0.367933 -3.4622 0.0005789 ***
idKOR -2.080616 0.358071 -5.8106 1.072e-08 ***
idNLD 0.293810 0.068843 4.2678 2.337e-05 ***
idNOR -0.910486 0.269803 -3.3746 0.0007930 ***
idRUS -1.508746 0.356317 -4.2343 2.701e-05 ***
idSGP -0.333327 0.263068 -1.2671 0.2056819
idSWE -0.596846 0.164657 -3.6248 0.0003169 ***
idTWN 0.349730 0.063036 5.5481 4.556e-08 ***
idUSA 0.292894 0.444155 0.6594 0.5098978
time1996 -6.522511 2.927647 -2.2279 0.0263036 *
time1997 -6.582733 2.928734 -2.2476 0.0250074 *
time1998 -6.460261 2.929119 -2.2055 0.0278430 *
time1999 -6.516343 2.930140 -2.2239 0.0265733 *
time2000 -6.504563 2.930192 -2.2198 0.0268495 *
time2001 -6.489956 2.931336 -2.2140 0.0272518 *
time2002 -6.530946 2.932254 -2.2273 0.0263455 *
time2003 -6.452108 2.933263 -2.1996 0.0282614 *
time2004 -6.431686 2.934215 -2.1920 0.0288141 *
time2005 -6.391686 2.933737 -2.1787 0.0297925 *
time2006 -6.385107 2.934764 -2.1757 0.0300178 *
time2007 -6.331048 2.935946 -2.1564 0.0314997 *
time2008 -6.353795 2.937129 -2.1633 0.0309644 *
time2009 -6.307078 2.937300 -2.1472 0.0322248 *
time2010 -6.293081 2.938469 -2.1416 0.0326768 *
time2011 -6.316088 2.939356 -2.1488 0.0321000 *
time2012 -6.381326 2.940347 -2.1703 0.0304278 *
time2013 -6.466904 2.941676 -2.1984 0.0283515 *
time2014 -6.429934 2.943411 -2.1845 0.0293591 *
time2015 -6.459188 2.944803 -2.1934 0.0287083 *
time2016 -6.394094 2.946322 -2.1702 0.0304330 *
time2017 -6.414587 2.947444 -2.1763 0.0299696 *
time2018 -6.412722 2.948547 -2.1749 0.0300784 *
time2019 -6.513901 2.949520 -2.2085 0.0276370 *
iis83 0.768575 0.129757 5.9232 5.666e-09 ***
iis147 -0.538253 0.133468 -4.0328 6.316e-05 ***
iis481 0.512875 0.132464 3.8718 0.0001214 ***
iis483 0.543975 0.132873 4.0940 4.899e-05 ***
iis485 0.645538 0.131762 4.8993 1.278e-06 ***
iis505 -0.496532 0.147845 -3.3585 0.0008398 ***
iis506 -1.538740 0.149132 -10.3180 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 2.147780 0.155085 13.8491 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 0.830684 0.146801 5.6586 2.494e-08 ***
iis517 0.510346 0.131643 3.8767 0.0001191 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.181361 0.057364 -3.1616 0.0016584 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.205726 0.055099 3.7338 0.0002089 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.578017 0.127289 -4.5410 6.929e-06 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.429638 0.096822 4.4374 1.107e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.596450 0.116125 5.1363 3.937e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.380048 0.099794 -3.8083 0.0001562 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 12.687 1 0.0003682 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 47.198 1 6.417e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.12438
R-squared 0.99410
Log-lik.(n=600) 432.78009 0.05
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:44:52 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.730478 0.020275 36.0290 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 0.326416 0.065842 4.9576 9.672e-07 ***
ihs_pop 0.105963 0.170338 0.6221 0.5341663
idAUT 0.520799 0.148778 3.5005 0.0005042 ***
idBEL 0.285442 0.111898 2.5509 0.0110289 *
idBRA -1.047656 0.372266 -2.8143 0.0050737 **
idCAN -0.268739 0.144865 -1.8551 0.0641465 .
idCHE 0.288138 0.155900 1.8482 0.0651368 .
idCHN -1.340789 0.671705 -1.9961 0.0464431 *
idDEU 0.250781 0.232155 1.0802 0.2805386
idDNK -0.132333 0.236052 -0.5606 0.5753034
idESP -0.140186 0.150897 -0.9290 0.3533117
idFIN 0.576733 0.212832 2.7098 0.0069542 **
idFRA 0.082140 0.195109 0.4210 0.6739346
idGBR 0.053930 0.193452 0.2788 0.7805249
idIND -1.685008 0.638549 -2.6388 0.0085688 **
idISR 0.024035 0.169647 0.1417 0.8873879
idITA -0.114649 0.184230 -0.6223 0.5340057
idJPN -1.282816 0.368791 -3.4784 0.0005466 ***
idKOR -1.756520 0.396468 -4.4304 1.147e-05 ***
idNLD 0.295209 0.067490 4.3741 1.473e-05 ***
idNOR -0.459805 0.272707 -1.6861 0.0923791 .
idRUS -2.101250 0.367969 -5.7104 1.896e-08 ***
idSGP -0.051265 0.248010 -0.2067 0.8363206
idSWE -0.278217 0.171923 -1.6183 0.1062108
idTWN 0.060436 0.079162 0.7634 0.4455414
idUSA -0.282302 0.421989 -0.6690 0.5038042
time1996 -9.576736 2.791278 -3.4310 0.0006492 ***
time1997 -9.658790 2.791642 -3.4599 0.0005847 ***
time1998 -9.555105 2.792103 -3.4222 0.0006700 ***
time1999 -9.583486 2.792885 -3.4314 0.0006482 ***
time2000 -9.578243 2.793370 -3.4289 0.0006540 ***
time2001 -9.569146 2.794357 -3.4245 0.0006646 ***
time2002 -9.607472 2.795123 -3.4372 0.0006347 ***
time2003 -9.527770 2.796050 -3.4076 0.0007061 ***
time2004 -9.518519 2.797033 -3.4031 0.0007176 ***
time2005 -9.452722 2.796277 -3.3805 0.0007779 ***
time2006 -9.440532 2.797133 -3.3751 0.0007930 ***
time2007 -9.396211 2.797871 -3.3583 0.0008415 ***
time2008 -9.399584 2.798952 -3.3583 0.0008418 ***
time2009 -9.354135 2.798838 -3.3421 0.0008910 ***
time2010 -9.335481 2.799877 -3.3342 0.0009162 ***
time2011 -9.354730 2.800604 -3.3403 0.0008970 ***
time2012 -9.418836 2.801449 -3.3621 0.0008303 ***
time2013 -9.505498 2.802738 -3.3915 0.0007479 ***
time2014 -9.471575 2.804549 -3.3772 0.0007870 ***
time2015 -9.494666 2.806159 -3.3835 0.0007695 ***
time2016 -9.446895 2.807480 -3.3649 0.0008221 ***
time2017 -9.465678 2.808538 -3.3703 0.0008065 ***
time2018 -9.463021 2.809598 -3.3681 0.0008129 ***
time2019 -9.563541 2.810515 -3.4028 0.0007184 ***
iis83 0.766463 0.119459 6.4161 3.143e-10 ***
iis98 0.287530 0.119995 2.3962 0.0169185 *
iis147 -0.410904 0.131094 -3.1344 0.0018189 **
iis193 -0.307094 0.124364 -2.4693 0.0138568 *
iis204 0.387728 0.121456 3.1923 0.0014964 **
iis345 0.419244 0.119714 3.5021 0.0005013 ***
iis459 0.453078 0.119910 3.7785 0.0001760 ***
iis481 0.674673 0.165743 4.0706 5.418e-05 ***
iis483 0.463248 0.124003 3.7358 0.0002078 ***
iis485 0.575029 0.122617 4.6896 3.500e-06 ***
iis500 -0.390300 0.120252 -3.2457 0.0012469 **
iis505 -0.541414 0.136607 -3.9633 8.424e-05 ***
iis506 -1.579511 0.138385 -11.4139 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis507 2.069433 0.146826 14.0944 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis508 0.810977 0.135211 5.9979 3.742e-09 ***
iis517 0.495384 0.121269 4.0850 5.102e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.217538 0.053354 -4.0773 5.268e-05 ***
fesisCAN.1997 0.274805 0.120226 2.2857 0.0226699 *
fesisCHN.2001 0.208290 0.077377 2.6919 0.0073337 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.204404 0.070835 2.8856 0.0040684 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.160988 0.053950 2.9840 0.0029781 **
fesisIND.1998 -0.545318 0.117354 -4.6468 4.276e-06 ***
fesisIND.2000 0.783554 0.143457 5.4619 7.304e-08 ***
fesisIND.2001 -0.327961 0.123410 -2.6575 0.0081141 **
fesisRUS.1998 0.283652 0.123952 2.2884 0.0225134 *
fesisSGP.2003 0.608246 0.106987 5.6852 2.178e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2005 -0.396749 0.092175 -4.3043 2.001e-05 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.270191 0.070302 3.8433 0.0001364 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.2337 1 0.07214 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 28.3529 1 1.011e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.11447
R-squared 0.99512
Log-lik.(n=600) 488.60910 Energy
top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:27:06 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.5773e-01 7.5058e-03 127.5985 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.0379e-13 7.4858e-14 1.3865 0.1661891
pop 2.9123e-07 1.0090e-07 2.8863 0.0040607 **
idAUT 6.3230e+00 1.0839e+01 0.5833 0.5599138
idBEL -5.5588e-02 1.0812e+01 -0.0051 0.9958998
idBRA -5.4236e+01 2.0220e+01 -2.6823 0.0075452 **
idCAN 3.5172e+00 1.0847e+01 0.3243 0.7458687
idCHE 3.9153e+00 1.0849e+01 0.3609 0.7183223
idCHN -3.1842e+02 1.2949e+02 -2.4591 0.0142555 *
idDEU 5.6683e+01 1.5553e+01 3.6446 0.0002949 ***
idDNK 1.5211e+01 1.0909e+01 1.3943 0.1638306
idESP -6.2110e+00 1.1004e+01 -0.5644 0.5726987
idFIN 1.4664e+00 1.0878e+01 0.1348 0.8928124
idFRA 1.0864e+01 1.1656e+01 0.9320 0.3517622
idGBR 4.1394e+00 1.1536e+01 0.3588 0.7198728
idIND -3.0116e+02 1.0488e+02 -2.8714 0.0042546 **
idISR 2.2236e+00 1.0852e+01 0.2049 0.8377225
idITA -7.5890e+00 1.1391e+01 -0.6662 0.5055542
idJPN 8.1307e+01 3.7908e+01 2.1448 0.0324317 *
idKOR -6.9319e+01 6.5116e+01 -1.0645 0.2875809
idNLD 3.2680e+00 1.0775e+01 0.3033 0.7617810
idNOR 1.9236e+00 1.0892e+01 0.1766 0.8598871
idRUS -4.5937e+01 1.6662e+01 -2.7569 0.0060409 **
idSGP 9.1873e-01 1.0887e+01 0.0844 0.9327820
idSWE 1.6508e+00 1.0833e+01 0.1524 0.8789379
idTWN 1.2305e+01 1.0804e+01 1.1390 0.2552487
idUSA 6.5477e+01 3.1114e+01 2.1044 0.0358270 *
time1996 -1.3527e+01 1.0706e+01 -1.2634 0.2070070
time1997 -9.4576e+00 1.0717e+01 -0.8825 0.3779241
time1998 -2.5774e+00 1.0738e+01 -0.2400 0.8103990
time1999 -3.7163e+00 1.0823e+01 -0.3434 0.7314532
time2000 8.8823e-01 1.0838e+01 0.0820 0.9347137
time2001 2.3839e+00 1.0756e+01 0.2216 0.8246934
time2002 -7.6516e+00 1.0776e+01 -0.7100 0.4780018
time2003 -1.6272e+01 1.0948e+01 -1.4863 0.1378131
time2004 1.1725e+01 1.0702e+01 1.0956 0.2737829
time2005 1.8108e+01 1.0710e+01 1.6908 0.0914763 .
time2006 4.5360e+00 1.0820e+01 0.4192 0.6752173
time2007 3.1482e+01 1.0844e+01 2.9032 0.0038514 **
time2008 2.0217e+01 1.0876e+01 1.8589 0.0636030 .
time2009 2.8695e+01 1.1130e+01 2.5782 0.0102067 *
time2010 2.5468e+01 1.1128e+01 2.2886 0.0225050 *
time2011 1.2046e+01 1.1108e+01 1.0845 0.2786647
time2012 -2.6521e+01 1.1161e+01 -2.3762 0.0178546 *
time2013 -2.6244e+01 1.1327e+01 -2.3170 0.0208933 *
time2014 -1.9562e+01 1.1134e+01 -1.7570 0.0795173 .
time2015 -1.2694e+01 1.1133e+01 -1.1402 0.2547276
time2016 -5.3616e+00 1.1163e+01 -0.4803 0.6312027
time2017 8.7854e+00 1.1113e+01 0.7906 0.4295664
time2018 2.7980e+00 1.1130e+01 0.2514 0.8016090
time2019 -2.6172e+01 1.1236e+01 -2.3293 0.0202302 *
iis165 4.3593e+02 3.9931e+01 10.9171 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 4.2271e+02 4.0505e+01 10.4359 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.2091e+02 4.1314e+01 10.1881 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 1.3312e+02 4.2329e+01 3.1449 0.0017568 **
iis186 -3.7721e+02 4.0831e+01 -9.2383 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 3.0624e+02 4.0274e+01 7.6037 1.366e-13 ***
iis389 2.6446e+02 3.9988e+01 6.6136 9.379e-11 ***
iis392 1.9670e+02 3.9919e+01 4.9274 1.124e-06 ***
iis398 5.0287e+02 4.3774e+01 11.4880 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 1.2086e+03 4.3022e+01 28.0923 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 3.8463e+02 4.2881e+01 8.9697 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -4.7052e+02 4.3236e+01 -10.8826 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -5.3515e+02 4.2810e+01 -12.5007 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis404 -2.9375e+02 4.2566e+01 -6.9012 1.515e-11 ***
iis408 -8.3656e+02 4.2589e+01 -19.6428 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 3.9628e+02 4.0737e+01 9.7276 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis423 3.3705e+02 4.1966e+01 8.0315 6.550e-15 ***
iis426 2.1934e+02 4.5683e+01 4.8014 2.066e-06 ***
iis429 4.2973e+02 4.4558e+01 9.6444 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis587 3.1359e+02 3.9401e+01 7.9589 1.107e-14 ***
iis588 4.0024e+02 3.9490e+01 10.1352 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 4.1751e+02 3.9856e+01 10.4755 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 3.2551e+02 4.0590e+01 8.0193 7.155e-15 ***
iis595 -4.2725e+02 4.2054e+01 -10.1595 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 2.0485e+02 2.1327e+01 9.6055 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.5430e+02 2.2350e+01 -11.3780 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisIND.2004 -6.9733e+01 2.6497e+01 -2.6318 0.0087482 **
fesisJPN.2009 7.4440e+01 2.7050e+01 2.7520 0.0061321 **
fesisKOR.2003 1.0707e+02 3.5646e+01 3.0036 0.0027969 **
fesisKOR.2014 -3.6854e+02 4.0072e+01 -9.1970 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.0559e+02 3.7075e+01 5.5452 4.689e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.4466e+02 2.1146e+01 -6.8409 2.232e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.8203 1 0.1773
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 33.5487 1 6.95e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 37.27557
R-squared 0.99835
Log-lik.(n=600) -2980.86604 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:27:05 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.8892e-01 1.7006e-02 52.2718 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.2958e-14 1.3795e-13 0.2389 0.8112641
pop 3.0177e-08 6.9198e-08 0.4361 0.6629530
idAUT 2.8106e+00 1.0071e+01 0.2791 0.7803119
idBEL -5.0831e+00 1.0076e+01 -0.5045 0.6141417
idBRA -1.3810e+01 1.5284e+01 -0.9035 0.3666889
idCAN 1.4053e+01 1.0250e+01 1.3711 0.1709489
idCHE 1.0762e+00 1.0077e+01 0.1068 0.9149928
idCHN -1.8177e+01 8.6516e+01 -0.2101 0.8336702
idDEU 1.0705e+02 1.6390e+01 6.5313 1.595e-10 ***
idDNK 1.7113e+01 1.0190e+01 1.6795 0.0936784 .
idESP 9.1894e-01 1.0176e+01 0.0903 0.9280847
idFIN -4.9854e+00 1.0108e+01 -0.4932 0.6220762
idFRA 3.9418e+01 1.1415e+01 3.4532 0.0006007 ***
idGBR 2.7079e+01 1.0938e+01 2.4757 0.0136251 *
idIND -3.6733e+01 7.6946e+01 -0.4774 0.6332900
idISR -2.2355e+00 1.0084e+01 -0.2217 0.8246456
idITA 5.3352e+00 1.0411e+01 0.5125 0.6085495
idJPN 1.9929e+02 6.3764e+01 3.1255 0.0018775 **
idKOR 1.8096e+02 1.6137e+02 1.1214 0.2626612
idNLD 3.7295e+00 1.0051e+01 0.3710 0.7107565
idNOR -5.0197e+00 1.0147e+01 -0.4947 0.6210368
idRUS -1.1026e+01 1.3512e+01 -0.8161 0.4148413
idSGP -6.6624e+00 1.0131e+01 -0.6576 0.5110767
idSWE -1.6067e+00 1.0090e+01 -0.1592 0.8735428
idTWN 2.1389e+01 1.0275e+01 2.0817 0.0378714 *
idUSA 1.9550e+02 2.7657e+01 7.0688 5.237e-12 ***
time1996 -1.1673e+01 1.0022e+01 -1.1647 0.2446852
time1997 -5.9865e+00 1.0022e+01 -0.5974 0.5505354
time1998 2.7782e+00 1.0024e+01 0.2771 0.7817806
time1999 1.2892e+00 1.0100e+01 0.1277 0.8984767
time2000 7.9588e+00 1.0106e+01 0.7875 0.4313548
time2001 9.3745e+00 1.0032e+01 0.9345 0.3505103
time2002 4.2426e+00 1.0051e+01 0.4221 0.6731227
time2003 -7.3039e+00 1.0152e+01 -0.7195 0.4721959
time2004 1.9444e+01 1.0032e+01 1.9381 0.0531727 .
time2005 2.8613e+01 1.0060e+01 2.8443 0.0046315 **
time2006 2.3039e+01 1.0232e+01 2.2517 0.0247727 *
time2007 3.2661e+01 1.0342e+01 3.1580 0.0016836 **
time2008 3.3121e+01 1.0177e+01 3.2545 0.0012123 **
time2009 4.1929e+01 1.0447e+01 4.0136 6.887e-05 ***
time2010 4.1661e+01 1.0506e+01 3.9654 8.387e-05 ***
time2011 2.9188e+01 1.0634e+01 2.7447 0.0062724 **
time2012 -1.7515e+01 1.0768e+01 -1.6266 0.1044545
time2013 -1.0821e+01 1.0726e+01 -1.0089 0.3135244
time2014 -6.5982e+00 1.0575e+01 -0.6239 0.5329633
time2015 9.9497e+00 1.0532e+01 0.9447 0.3452520
time2016 6.2850e+00 1.0440e+01 0.6020 0.5474271
time2017 2.0554e+01 1.0394e+01 1.9776 0.0485238 *
time2018 1.5678e+01 1.0404e+01 1.5070 0.1324320
time2019 -1.2971e+01 1.0479e+01 -1.2379 0.2163379
iis165 4.2909e+02 3.8341e+01 11.1915 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 4.5129e+02 4.0517e+01 11.1383 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 4.8232e+02 4.3883e+01 10.9910 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 2.2601e+02 4.8094e+01 4.6993 3.373e-06 ***
iis180 1.1933e+02 4.0941e+01 2.9146 0.0037200 **
iis186 -3.9725e+02 3.9920e+01 -9.9511 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis188 -2.5209e+02 3.8963e+01 -6.4699 2.325e-10 ***
iis388 2.4430e+02 4.2842e+01 5.7025 2.014e-08 ***
iis389 2.3018e+02 4.0314e+01 5.7098 1.935e-08 ***
iis392 1.9477e+02 3.8653e+01 5.0389 6.535e-07 ***
iis396 1.9342e+02 3.8613e+01 5.0092 7.572e-07 ***
iis398 4.0520e+02 4.5477e+01 8.9099 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 1.1545e+03 4.1512e+01 27.8104 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 4.2115e+02 4.1437e+01 10.1636 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -3.9525e+02 4.3649e+01 -9.0552 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis402 -4.9818e+02 4.1056e+01 -12.1341 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis404 -2.9816e+02 3.9780e+01 -7.4951 2.999e-13 ***
iis408 -8.2909e+02 3.9767e+01 -20.8486 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis409 -1.5856e+02 7.1662e+01 -2.2127 0.0273682 *
iis410 -1.7337e+02 6.6567e+01 -2.6044 0.0094755 **
iis411 -1.9438e+02 7.1070e+01 -2.7350 0.0064581 **
iis412 -1.6621e+02 6.1657e+01 -2.6958 0.0072573 **
iis413 -1.7923e+02 5.4138e+01 -3.3106 0.0009978 ***
iis414 -1.4418e+02 5.0111e+01 -2.8771 0.0041836 **
iis415 -2.1448e+02 4.4559e+01 -4.8135 1.963e-06 ***
iis419 -1.5983e+02 3.9207e+01 -4.0766 5.309e-05 ***
iis422 2.6861e+02 5.0065e+01 5.3652 1.235e-07 ***
iis423 2.5211e+02 4.4962e+01 5.6072 3.392e-08 ***
iis426 1.9862e+02 4.4432e+01 4.4702 9.659e-06 ***
iis429 3.9893e+02 4.3234e+01 9.2274 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis587 1.7713e+02 4.9845e+01 3.5537 0.0004156 ***
iis588 3.0973e+02 4.6028e+01 6.7291 4.651e-11 ***
iis589 3.5058e+02 4.2378e+01 8.2727 1.177e-15 ***
iis590 2.9247e+02 4.0337e+01 7.2507 1.570e-12 ***
iis595 -3.7476e+02 4.0783e+01 -9.1892 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2008 1.3512e+02 1.8507e+01 7.3008 1.122e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.9714e+02 2.6259e+01 7.5074 2.757e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.3553e+02 2.3004e+01 -5.8916 6.999e-09 ***
fesisJPN.1999 8.9405e+01 3.3967e+01 2.6321 0.0087456 **
fesisJPN.2009 2.1560e+02 3.6112e+01 5.9703 4.472e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.5393e+02 5.3295e+01 2.8883 0.0040396 **
fesisKOR.2014 -3.7554e+02 4.0095e+01 -9.3663 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2016 2.2035e+02 4.0210e+01 5.4801 6.727e-08 ***
fesisUSA.2006 1.7660e+02 4.5950e+01 3.8433 0.0001369 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.9800e+02 2.7149e+01 -7.2931 1.182e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3612 1 0.243329
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.0207 1 0.001548 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 34.7698
R-squared 0.9986
Log-lik.(n=600) -2932.6126 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:28:13 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.636232 0.024910 25.5415 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.762430 0.084396 9.0340 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.048106 0.266119 -3.9385 9.302e-05 ***
idAUT 0.195904 0.236754 0.8275 0.4083512
idBEL -0.498357 0.250474 -1.9897 0.0471455 *
idBRA 1.058534 0.555081 1.9070 0.0570651 .
idCAN 0.669440 0.131204 5.1023 4.692e-07 ***
idCHE -0.316161 0.255001 -1.2398 0.2155842
idCHN 2.476612 1.026591 2.4125 0.0161857 *
idDEU 1.904768 0.362058 5.2609 2.088e-07 ***
idDNK -1.727383 0.371643 -4.6480 4.241e-06 ***
idESP 1.078493 0.216157 4.9894 8.239e-07 ***
idFIN -0.173430 0.342615 -0.5062 0.6129324
idFRA 1.435668 0.296685 4.8390 1.716e-06 ***
idGBR 1.444132 0.292571 4.9360 1.071e-06 ***
idIND 1.376620 0.972640 1.4153 0.1575582
idISR -0.866030 0.278275 -3.1121 0.0019581 **
idITA 1.112735 0.273465 4.0690 5.444e-05 ***
idJPN -1.235605 0.507598 -2.4342 0.0152550 *
idKOR -3.320619 0.492158 -6.7471 3.984e-11 ***
idNLD 0.475386 0.095432 4.9814 8.571e-07 ***
idNOR -2.303228 0.429565 -5.3618 1.235e-07 ***
idRUS -0.901839 0.498676 -1.8085 0.0711035 .
idSGP -0.675070 0.416322 -1.6215 0.1055060
idSWE -1.019041 0.278536 -3.6586 0.0002791 ***
idTWN 0.818604 0.082912 9.8732 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 2.158710 0.664717 3.2476 0.0012381 **
time1996 -2.401691 4.133730 -0.5810 0.5614899
time1997 -2.451111 4.135741 -0.5927 0.5536591
time1998 -2.347439 4.136885 -0.5674 0.5706560
time1999 -2.255193 4.138382 -0.5449 0.5860214
time2000 -2.258907 4.140164 -0.5456 0.5855661
time2001 -2.219308 4.140840 -0.5360 0.5922151
time2002 -2.254488 4.142533 -0.5442 0.5865139
time2003 -2.192736 4.143455 -0.5292 0.5968863
time2004 -2.143159 4.145184 -0.5170 0.6053565
time2005 -2.076703 4.147272 -0.5007 0.6167635
time2006 -2.018724 4.149216 -0.4865 0.6267927
time2007 -1.902666 4.151926 -0.4583 0.6469538
time2008 -1.855776 4.153772 -0.4468 0.6552255
time2009 -1.822779 4.155064 -0.4387 0.6610670
time2010 -1.841407 4.155587 -0.4431 0.6578636
time2011 -1.850125 4.157268 -0.4450 0.6564780
time2012 -1.970290 4.159034 -0.4737 0.6358834
time2013 -2.083790 4.161045 -0.5008 0.6167314
time2014 -2.072210 4.163007 -0.4978 0.6188555
time2015 -2.119408 4.164977 -0.5089 0.6110604
time2016 -2.025424 4.167035 -0.4861 0.6271275
time2017 -1.983459 4.168720 -0.4758 0.6344170
time2018 -2.042743 4.170210 -0.4898 0.6244497
time2019 -2.191854 4.171666 -0.5254 0.5995161
iis50 0.886995 0.191038 4.6430 4.340e-06 ***
iis56 -0.612040 0.190237 -3.2173 0.0013738 **
iis73 -0.733782 0.192059 -3.8206 0.0001490 ***
iis94 -0.965798 0.203253 -4.7517 2.605e-06 ***
iis195 1.129026 0.198224 5.6957 2.044e-08 ***
iis223 -0.765278 0.190102 -4.0256 6.517e-05 ***
iis483 0.764872 0.195267 3.9171 0.0001014 ***
iis506 -1.158394 0.207854 -5.5731 3.998e-08 ***
iis515 -1.058932 0.200685 -5.2766 1.926e-07 ***
iis553 -0.918330 0.196135 -4.6821 3.616e-06 ***
iis556 -0.803460 0.191224 -4.2017 3.112e-05 ***
iis557 -0.741189 0.192446 -3.8514 0.0001319 ***
fesisBEL.1997 0.607294 0.190634 3.1856 0.0015298 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.298997 0.094958 3.1487 0.0017327 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.463684 0.083493 5.5536 4.444e-08 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.727865 0.169925 -4.2834 2.188e-05 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.563909 0.119736 4.7096 3.178e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.421045 0.088927 -4.7347 2.823e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.809319 0.161851 -5.0004 7.803e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.071970 0.151958 7.0544 5.477e-12 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.389012 0.101909 -3.8172 0.0001510 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.597890 0.141110 -4.2370 2.674e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.8282 1 0.09262 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 17.8007 1 2.453e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18162
R-squared 0.98876
Log-lik.(n=600) 208.63173 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 10 11:28:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.633359 0.022676 27.9311 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.604574 0.086134 7.0190 7.350e-12 ***
lpop -1.125066 0.286065 -3.9329 9.583e-05 ***
idAUT -0.100008 0.243333 -0.4110 0.6812552
idBEL -0.314928 0.199172 -1.5812 0.1144707
idBRA 1.501689 0.588232 2.5529 0.0109806 *
idCAN 0.729195 0.134828 5.4083 9.893e-08 ***
idCHE -0.445876 0.277635 -1.6060 0.1089132
idCHN 3.285069 1.091027 3.0110 0.0027362 **
idDEU 2.114409 0.381776 5.5383 4.951e-08 ***
idDNK -1.734702 0.399491 -4.3423 1.709e-05 ***
idESP 0.881185 0.225409 3.9093 0.0001054 ***
idFIN -0.600038 0.355862 -1.6862 0.0923929 .
idFRA 1.573096 0.314014 5.0096 7.587e-07 ***
idGBR 1.551567 0.310304 5.0002 7.950e-07 ***
idIND 2.185000 1.022396 2.1371 0.0330735 *
idISR -1.633142 0.371785 -4.3927 1.369e-05 ***
idITA 1.211826 0.290954 4.1650 3.670e-05 ***
idJPN -0.165271 0.512161 -0.3227 0.7470632
idKOR -2.188347 0.493529 -4.4341 1.139e-05 ***
idNLD 0.322275 0.090318 3.5682 0.0003942 ***
idNOR -2.319882 0.460159 -5.0415 6.478e-07 ***
idRUS -0.289414 0.509648 -0.5679 0.5703785
idSGP -1.145973 0.435186 -2.6333 0.0087189 **
idSWE -0.974176 0.290549 -3.3529 0.0008606 ***
idTWN 0.750565 0.078261 9.5905 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 2.744874 0.701433 3.9132 0.0001037 ***
time1996 3.302996 4.285935 0.7707 0.4412744
time1997 3.270984 4.287089 0.7630 0.4458337
time1998 3.387480 4.288120 0.7900 0.4299221
time1999 3.471767 4.289693 0.8093 0.4187133
time2000 3.476901 4.291444 0.8102 0.4182159
time2001 3.512752 4.291993 0.8184 0.4134957
time2002 3.421026 4.293041 0.7969 0.4259022
time2003 3.540172 4.293742 0.8245 0.4100527
time2004 3.573256 4.295176 0.8319 0.4058511
time2005 3.648806 4.296983 0.8492 0.3962028
time2006 3.673378 4.298309 0.8546 0.3931780
time2007 3.815471 4.301162 0.8871 0.3754644
time2008 3.852013 4.302646 0.8953 0.3710775
time2009 3.912240 4.304318 0.9089 0.3638370
time2010 3.894794 4.304632 0.9048 0.3660134
time2011 3.891353 4.306336 0.9036 0.3666262
time2012 3.774275 4.308211 0.8761 0.3814168
time2013 3.682159 4.309944 0.8543 0.3933272
time2014 3.691070 4.312226 0.8560 0.3924345
time2015 3.611275 4.314061 0.8371 0.4029412
time2016 3.734756 4.316159 0.8653 0.3872928
time2017 3.769558 4.317644 0.8731 0.3830516
time2018 3.705600 4.319124 0.8580 0.3913318
time2019 3.624907 4.320660 0.8390 0.4018883
iis27 -0.524443 0.160244 -3.2728 0.0011389 **
iis49 -0.474768 0.181760 -2.6121 0.0092716 **
iis50 1.007119 0.182043 5.5323 5.114e-08 ***
iis56 -0.720985 0.161639 -4.4605 1.012e-05 ***
iis58 -0.566003 0.161327 -3.5084 0.0004916 ***
iis72 -0.634182 0.161181 -3.9346 9.518e-05 ***
iis73 -0.917359 0.192545 -4.7644 2.489e-06 ***
iis82 0.519657 0.162496 3.1980 0.0014720 **
iis83 0.513767 0.162552 3.1606 0.0016702 **
iis92 0.643901 0.162063 3.9731 8.141e-05 ***
iis94 -0.657708 0.162397 -4.0500 5.939e-05 ***
iis95 0.535322 0.162332 3.2977 0.0010445 **
iis145 -0.596500 0.168117 -3.5481 0.0004247 ***
iis147 -0.409195 0.165821 -2.4677 0.0139340 *
iis194 -0.480417 0.167868 -2.8619 0.0043888 **
iis195 1.041198 0.169040 6.1595 1.506e-09 ***
iis218 -0.361345 0.171813 -2.1031 0.0359552 *
iis223 -0.533500 0.171459 -3.1115 0.0019681 **
iis457 0.430095 0.161484 2.6634 0.0079863 **
iis474 -0.458964 0.159810 -2.8719 0.0042535 **
iis481 0.368186 0.168846 2.1806 0.0296805 *
iis483 0.822877 0.168394 4.8866 1.385e-06 ***
iis487 0.384521 0.167244 2.2992 0.0219086 *
iis490 0.418126 0.168784 2.4773 0.0135695 *
iis506 -1.158426 0.175506 -6.6005 1.051e-10 ***
iis510 -0.511159 0.222053 -2.3020 0.0217488 *
iis515 -0.963431 0.171646 -5.6129 3.308e-08 ***
iis517 0.357915 0.172200 2.0785 0.0381768 *
iis528 -0.451729 0.164726 -2.7423 0.0063206 **
iis553 -0.958510 0.166945 -5.7415 1.634e-08 ***
iis556 -0.836655 0.161318 -5.1864 3.125e-07 ***
iis557 -0.774997 0.162521 -4.7686 2.440e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2001 0.245710 0.098962 2.4829 0.0133613 *
fesisBRA.1999 -0.541231 0.143811 -3.7635 0.0001875 ***
fesisBRA.2002 0.401651 0.101293 3.9652 8.407e-05 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.597467 0.167213 -3.5731 0.0003871 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.490543 0.161912 3.0297 0.0025752 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.256648 0.095433 2.6893 0.0074004 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.411382 0.073424 5.6028 3.495e-08 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.276991 0.083599 3.3133 0.0009891 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.717927 0.143655 -4.9976 8.052e-07 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.688625 0.103662 6.6430 8.073e-11 ***
fesisISR.1997 0.576121 0.168543 3.4183 0.0006819 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.375676 0.167185 -2.2471 0.0250732 *
fesisISR.2006 0.792266 0.180692 4.3846 1.418e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.381719 0.104286 -3.6603 0.0002788 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.263223 0.085634 -3.0738 0.0022294 **
fesisSGP.2001 -0.505920 0.175537 -2.8821 0.0041206 **
fesisSGP.2003 0.791363 0.172152 4.5969 5.443e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.224373 0.095873 -2.3403 0.0196610 *
fesisSWE.1998 -0.563195 0.119622 -4.7081 3.245e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.274 1 0.0040216 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.435 1 0.0002469 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15287
R-squared 0.99248
Log-lik.(n=600) 326.54962 Ihs Count
0.01
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:47:43 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.628868 0.024565 25.6003 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 0.768373 0.086064 8.9279 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_pop -1.045833 0.274588 -3.8087 0.0001562 ***
idAUT 0.205804 0.245022 0.8399 0.4013229
idBEL 0.108323 0.185597 0.5836 0.5597085
idBRA 1.250469 0.575603 2.1725 0.0302675 *
idCAN 0.677047 0.135042 5.0136 7.313e-07 ***
idCHE -0.306666 0.263821 -1.1624 0.2455988
idCHN 2.458284 1.061454 2.3160 0.0209441 *
idDEU 1.922276 0.372727 5.1573 3.553e-07 ***
idDNK -1.735722 0.383294 -4.5284 7.357e-06 ***
idESP 1.076865 0.222549 4.8388 1.719e-06 ***
idFIN -0.170069 0.354606 -0.4796 0.6317110
idFRA 1.445475 0.305705 4.7283 2.911e-06 ***
idGBR 1.453008 0.301396 4.8209 1.873e-06 ***
idIND 1.402848 1.006125 1.3943 0.1638131
idISR -0.866201 0.287475 -3.0131 0.0027102 **
idITA 1.113926 0.282094 3.9488 8.925e-05 ***
idJPN -1.242007 0.524873 -2.3663 0.0183282 *
idKOR -3.341033 0.504951 -6.6166 9.070e-11 ***
idNLD 0.484155 0.098265 4.9271 1.120e-06 ***
idNOR -2.314034 0.442234 -5.2326 2.418e-07 ***
idRUS -0.937840 0.516020 -1.8174 0.0697174 .
idSGP -0.695176 0.432262 -1.6082 0.1083854
idSWE -0.997722 0.287145 -3.4746 0.0005538 ***
idTWN 0.835102 0.084453 9.8884 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 2.167560 0.686554 3.1572 0.0016845 **
time1996 -2.146976 4.450222 -0.4824 0.6296923
time1997 -2.212838 4.452637 -0.4970 0.6194162
time1998 -2.095564 4.453836 -0.4705 0.6381874
time1999 -1.972968 4.455234 -0.4428 0.6580616
time2000 -1.976943 4.457062 -0.4436 0.6575482
time2001 -1.940185 4.457754 -0.4352 0.6635681
time2002 -1.994954 4.459173 -0.4474 0.6547834
time2003 -1.929477 4.460109 -0.4326 0.6654772
time2004 -1.881450 4.461888 -0.4217 0.6734372
time2005 -1.811962 4.464044 -0.4059 0.6849801
time2006 -1.751795 4.466071 -0.3922 0.6950359
time2007 -1.634223 4.468900 -0.3657 0.7147450
time2008 -1.585847 4.470868 -0.3547 0.7229515
time2009 -1.552052 4.472287 -0.3470 0.7287018
time2010 -1.568758 4.472842 -0.3507 0.7259317
time2011 -1.576503 4.474585 -0.3523 0.7247365
time2012 -1.697191 4.476423 -0.3791 0.7047370
time2013 -1.813283 4.478484 -0.4049 0.6857247
time2014 -1.789707 4.480735 -0.3994 0.6897440
time2015 -1.838679 4.482753 -0.4102 0.6818502
time2016 -1.743946 4.484856 -0.3889 0.6975429
time2017 -1.708214 4.486484 -0.3807 0.7035449
time2018 -1.760114 4.488135 -0.3922 0.6950911
time2019 -1.912179 4.489635 -0.4259 0.6703480
iis49 -0.723153 0.196441 -3.6813 0.0002560 ***
iis50 0.996306 0.197285 5.0501 6.099e-07 ***
iis56 -0.634335 0.195982 -3.2367 0.0012854 **
iis73 -1.274328 0.234616 -5.4315 8.552e-08 ***
iis94 -0.832830 0.196952 -4.2286 2.773e-05 ***
iis195 1.188053 0.204400 5.8124 1.069e-08 ***
iis223 -0.795007 0.195759 -4.0611 5.627e-05 ***
iis483 0.807133 0.201205 4.0115 6.908e-05 ***
iis506 -1.485673 0.214185 -6.9364 1.185e-11 ***
iis515 -1.130787 0.206809 -5.4678 7.051e-08 ***
iis553 -1.019699 0.202717 -5.0302 6.735e-07 ***
iis556 -0.863174 0.196975 -4.3822 1.419e-05 ***
iis557 -0.796920 0.198237 -4.0200 6.670e-05 ***
fesisBRA.1999 -0.706150 0.176210 -4.0074 7.024e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2002 0.610816 0.120644 5.0630 5.718e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.482058 0.085928 5.6100 3.275e-08 ***
fesisIND.1998 -0.891724 0.175242 -5.0885 5.031e-07 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.670170 0.123790 5.4138 9.397e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.421281 0.091254 -4.6166 4.909e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -0.985874 0.167469 -5.8869 7.017e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.299494 0.156663 8.2948 9.171e-16 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.423308 0.105083 -4.0283 6.446e-05 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.624817 0.145199 -4.3032 2.008e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.5542 1 0.0593959 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 14.2476 1 0.0001603 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18709
R-squared 0.98869
Log-lik.(n=600) 191.33236 0.05
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:47:41 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.640495 0.021923 29.2159 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 0.615202 0.088319 6.9656 1.032e-11 ***
ihs_pop -1.058048 0.291743 -3.6266 0.0003165 ***
idAUT -0.020062 0.252262 -0.0795 0.9366439
idBEL -0.267193 0.206937 -1.2912 0.1972367
idBRA 1.179309 0.610635 1.9313 0.0540120 .
idCAN 0.694185 0.137608 5.0447 6.364e-07 ***
idCHE -0.464944 0.275193 -1.6895 0.0917422 .
idCHN 2.974419 1.119412 2.6571 0.0081326 **
idDEU 2.002920 0.389001 5.1489 3.772e-07 ***
idDNK -1.653103 0.407092 -4.0608 5.675e-05 ***
idESP 0.840858 0.230515 3.6477 0.0002923 ***
idFIN -0.488310 0.367941 -1.3271 0.1850659
idFRA 1.489717 0.320124 4.6536 4.182e-06 ***
idGBR 1.473288 0.316100 4.6608 4.043e-06 ***
idIND 1.953144 1.052418 1.8559 0.0640601 .
idISR -1.594493 0.382035 -4.1737 3.534e-05 ***
idITA 1.140975 0.296922 3.8427 0.0001373 ***
idJPN -0.369060 0.538000 -0.6860 0.4930397
idKOR -2.327448 0.515829 -4.5121 8.008e-06 ***
idNLD 0.347604 0.094303 3.6860 0.0002526 ***
idNOR -2.247190 0.467385 -4.8080 2.019e-06 ***
idRUS -0.470241 0.529623 -0.8879 0.3750320
idSGP -1.000274 0.448938 -2.2281 0.0263177 *
idSWE -0.938427 0.296111 -3.1692 0.0016222 **
idTWN 0.755005 0.079657 9.4781 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 2.523574 0.719299 3.5084 0.0004914 ***
time1996 2.414174 4.620283 0.5225 0.6015417
time1997 2.386357 4.620851 0.5164 0.6057804
time1998 2.484594 4.622630 0.5375 0.5911713
time1999 2.587965 4.624447 0.5596 0.5759841
time2000 2.565159 4.625817 0.5545 0.5794629
time2001 2.613588 4.627699 0.5648 0.5724826
time2002 2.524341 4.628056 0.5454 0.5856915
time2003 2.622735 4.628771 0.5666 0.5712291
time2004 2.671012 4.630594 0.5768 0.5643213
time2005 2.744089 4.632460 0.5924 0.5538760
time2006 2.770580 4.634058 0.5979 0.5501946
time2007 2.908955 4.637012 0.6273 0.5307262
time2008 2.956450 4.639317 0.6373 0.5242468
time2009 2.999715 4.640218 0.6465 0.5182776
time2010 2.986139 4.640714 0.6435 0.5202166
time2011 2.981835 4.642515 0.6423 0.5209795
time2012 2.862781 4.644464 0.6164 0.5379200
time2013 2.750288 4.646508 0.5919 0.5541816
time2014 2.779325 4.648647 0.5979 0.5501914
time2015 2.697472 4.650433 0.5800 0.5621434
time2016 2.823817 4.652698 0.6069 0.5441787
time2017 2.857121 4.654203 0.6139 0.5395734
time2018 2.791293 4.655766 0.5995 0.5490874
time2019 2.690726 4.657643 0.5777 0.5637254
iis27 -0.548333 0.167898 -3.2659 0.0011660 **
iis49 -0.582370 0.190409 -3.0585 0.0023433 **
iis50 1.109897 0.190701 5.8201 1.051e-08 ***
iis56 -0.741367 0.169038 -4.3858 1.409e-05 ***
iis58 -0.585439 0.168942 -3.4653 0.0005751 ***
iis72 -0.633074 0.168651 -3.7537 0.0001946 ***
iis73 -1.056842 0.172371 -6.1312 1.770e-09 ***
iis75 0.520117 0.171648 3.0301 0.0025707 **
iis76 -0.584106 0.169603 -3.4440 0.0006213 ***
iis78 -0.653190 0.169584 -3.8517 0.0001325 ***
iis82 0.591265 0.169314 3.4921 0.0005216 ***
iis83 0.555195 0.169667 3.2723 0.0011405 **
iis92 0.680878 0.169140 4.0255 6.565e-05 ***
iis94 -0.675110 0.169610 -3.9804 7.899e-05 ***
iis95 0.585608 0.169100 3.4631 0.0005797 ***
iis145 -0.634358 0.176185 -3.6005 0.0003492 ***
iis147 -0.407531 0.173853 -2.3441 0.0194625 *
iis194 -0.530762 0.175616 -3.0223 0.0026371 **
iis195 1.104349 0.177030 6.2382 9.423e-10 ***
iis218 -0.419771 0.179946 -2.3328 0.0200560 *
iis223 -0.571941 0.179578 -3.1849 0.0015381 **
iis318 0.366247 0.173342 2.1129 0.0351063 *
iis457 0.496840 0.169028 2.9394 0.0034405 **
iis481 0.378811 0.176819 2.1424 0.0326457 *
iis483 0.873529 0.176481 4.9497 1.017e-06 ***
iis487 0.395737 0.175128 2.2597 0.0242683 *
iis490 0.442913 0.176588 2.5082 0.0124509 *
iis506 -1.528239 0.183817 -8.3139 8.779e-16 ***
iis510 -0.614376 0.232874 -2.6382 0.0085932 **
iis515 -1.105566 0.177255 -6.2372 9.482e-10 ***
iis553 -1.034884 0.175214 -5.9064 6.459e-09 ***
iis556 -0.876270 0.168892 -5.1883 3.087e-07 ***
iis557 -0.780881 0.169925 -4.5954 5.472e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2001 0.262420 0.103530 2.5347 0.0115569 *
fesisCHN.2015 0.237212 0.100059 2.3707 0.0181308 *
fesisDNK.2005 0.416447 0.076754 5.4257 9.002e-08 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.273965 0.087255 3.1398 0.0017903 **
fesisIND.1998 -0.859685 0.150584 -5.7090 1.949e-08 ***
fesisIND.2001 0.736491 0.109832 6.7056 5.424e-11 ***
fesisISR.1997 0.621677 0.176412 3.5240 0.0004640 ***
fesisISR.2005 -0.389732 0.174961 -2.2275 0.0263550 *
fesisISR.2006 0.802731 0.189194 4.2429 2.629e-05 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.390096 0.109183 -3.5729 0.0003872 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.248115 0.088687 -2.7976 0.0053460 **
fesisSGP.2001 -0.649938 0.183883 -3.5345 0.0004464 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.009538 0.178418 5.6583 2.575e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.379210 0.093014 -4.0769 5.307e-05 ***
fesisSWE.1998 -0.552720 0.124913 -4.4248 1.185e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 9.7940 1 0.001751 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.6171 1 0.003330 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.16009
R-squared 0.99211
Log-lik.(n=600) 297.34493 Solar
top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:25:11 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.3181e-01 9.8967e-03 94.1542 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 6.5514e-14 3.0331e-14 2.1600 0.0312339 *
pop 9.9437e-09 3.1133e-08 0.3194 0.7495609
idAUT -1.1926e+00 5.2322e+00 -0.2279 0.8197914
idBEL -1.9964e+00 5.2283e+00 -0.3819 0.7027263
idBRA -4.8645e+00 7.4172e+00 -0.6558 0.5122205
idCAN -4.9336e-01 5.2281e+00 -0.0944 0.9248550
idCHE 7.0530e-02 5.2320e+00 0.0135 0.9892496
idCHN 6.9162e-01 4.0059e+01 0.0173 0.9862320
idDEU 2.4898e+01 7.0427e+00 3.5353 0.0004439 ***
idDNK -2.8068e+00 5.2457e+00 -0.5351 0.5928417
idESP -1.1112e-01 5.2639e+00 -0.0211 0.9831665
idFIN -2.2936e+00 5.2458e+00 -0.4372 0.6621354
idFRA 5.3361e+00 5.4004e+00 0.9881 0.3235746
idGBR 9.6015e-01 5.3685e+00 0.1788 0.8581265
idIND -1.7881e+01 3.6374e+01 -0.4916 0.6232275
idISR 4.7484e-01 5.2332e+00 0.0907 0.9277373
idITA 8.3957e-01 5.3440e+00 0.1571 0.8752232
idJPN 3.9081e-01 1.6103e+01 0.0243 0.9806475
idKOR -5.4726e+01 2.9498e+01 -1.8552 0.0641350 .
idNLD 6.0830e-01 5.2173e+00 0.1166 0.9072287
idNOR -2.8385e+00 5.2499e+00 -0.5407 0.5889691
idRUS -8.7373e+00 6.5330e+00 -1.3374 0.1816758
idSGP -2.5636e+00 5.2469e+00 -0.4886 0.6253372
idSWE -2.0627e+00 5.2355e+00 -0.3940 0.6937524
idTWN 6.9912e+00 5.2521e+00 1.3311 0.1837366
idUSA 1.8293e+01 1.1163e+01 1.6387 0.1018762
time1996 -1.0128e+00 5.1442e+00 -0.1969 0.8440028
time1997 -1.1686e+00 5.1418e+00 -0.2273 0.8202991
time1998 1.3397e+00 5.1489e+00 0.2602 0.7948250
time1999 -5.3487e-01 5.1912e+00 -0.1030 0.9179758
time2000 2.5633e+00 5.1411e+00 0.4986 0.6182744
time2001 5.6830e-01 5.1427e+00 0.1105 0.9120501
time2002 -2.0091e+00 5.1442e+00 -0.3906 0.6962871
time2003 3.4115e+00 5.1472e+00 0.6628 0.5077638
time2004 2.3464e+00 5.1606e+00 0.4547 0.6495342
time2005 8.7363e+00 5.1659e+00 1.6911 0.0914123 .
time2006 8.1788e+00 5.2141e+00 1.5686 0.1173591
time2007 1.5650e+01 5.2304e+00 2.9922 0.0029023 **
time2008 2.1155e+01 5.3449e+00 3.9580 8.615e-05 ***
time2009 2.8099e+01 5.3283e+00 5.2735 1.971e-07 ***
time2010 5.5799e+00 5.3959e+00 1.0341 0.3015697
time2011 5.7544e+00 5.4166e+00 1.0624 0.2885627
time2012 -5.0457e+00 5.3972e+00 -0.9349 0.3502890
time2013 -5.3851e+00 5.3537e+00 -1.0059 0.3149505
time2014 -5.5773e+00 5.3561e+00 -1.0413 0.2982258
time2015 -5.2942e+00 5.3031e+00 -0.9983 0.3185956
time2016 -2.1277e-01 5.3185e+00 -0.0400 0.9681050
time2017 4.1767e+00 5.4456e+00 0.7670 0.4434344
time2018 6.1633e+00 5.3311e+00 1.1561 0.2481677
time2019 -7.8586e+00 5.3534e+00 -1.4680 0.1427168
iis166 9.5833e+01 2.1360e+01 4.4866 8.925e-06 ***
iis168 -3.5523e+02 2.1810e+01 -16.2872 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis181 1.1522e+02 2.0690e+01 5.5690 4.124e-08 ***
iis185 -1.2818e+02 2.0388e+01 -6.2870 6.890e-10 ***
iis186 -1.3530e+02 2.0060e+01 -6.7447 4.117e-11 ***
iis388 9.4140e+01 1.9285e+01 4.8815 1.405e-06 ***
iis397 2.4858e+02 1.9251e+01 12.9126 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 4.2103e+02 1.9429e+01 21.6700 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 4.5646e+02 2.0272e+01 22.5171 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.9884e+02 2.1638e+01 -9.1896 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis403 -6.8749e+01 2.0752e+01 -3.3129 0.0009880 ***
iis406 -1.1451e+02 2.0682e+01 -5.5366 4.912e-08 ***
iis407 -5.5451e+01 2.0774e+01 -2.6692 0.0078425 **
iis427 -1.1158e+02 2.0658e+01 -5.4014 1.010e-07 ***
iis429 2.2154e+02 2.0759e+01 10.6720 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis430 -1.6264e+02 2.1035e+01 -7.7318 5.576e-14 ***
iis432 -1.3407e+02 2.1630e+01 -6.1980 1.169e-09 ***
iis587 1.8490e+02 2.1417e+01 8.6333 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 1.1175e+02 2.1305e+01 5.2454 2.278e-07 ***
iis589 3.0571e+02 2.1433e+01 14.2636 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 1.2786e+02 2.2026e+01 5.8051 1.123e-08 ***
iis598 -9.2971e+01 2.1354e+01 -4.3537 1.614e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 1.4931e+02 1.2231e+01 12.2072 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 7.1575e+01 1.1500e+01 6.2237 1.005e-09 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.1111e+02 1.2210e+01 -9.0999 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -5.8389e+01 1.1435e+01 -5.1061 4.631e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.1659e+02 1.6131e+01 7.2275 1.777e-12 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.2968e+02 1.4922e+01 -8.6904 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2004 7.8351e+01 1.3246e+01 5.9150 6.041e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.6046e+02 1.5068e+01 -10.6491 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 1.6772e+02 2.0856e+01 8.0419 6.076e-15 ***
fesisUSA.2016 -1.4324e+02 2.1345e+01 -6.7109 5.096e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.2643 1 0.1324
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 57.6311 1 3.164e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 18.06570
R-squared 0.99477
Log-lik.(n=600) -2546.27214 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:25:10 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.2754e-01 1.5297e-02 60.6371 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.0363e-13 2.1269e-14 9.5741 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -2.8799e-08 2.7836e-08 -1.0346 0.3013542
idAUT -1.5954e+00 4.7622e+00 -0.3350 0.7377480
idBEL -2.3310e+00 4.7609e+00 -0.4896 0.6246138
idBRA 1.2862e+00 6.6950e+00 0.1921 0.8477244
idCAN -6.4885e-02 4.7547e+00 -0.0136 0.9891172
idCHE -3.2561e-01 4.7582e+00 -0.0684 0.9454693
idCHN 4.6084e+01 3.5960e+01 1.2815 0.2005964
idDEU 2.7370e+01 6.5144e+00 4.2014 3.135e-05 ***
idDNK -3.5945e+00 4.7844e+00 -0.7513 0.4528292
idESP 8.4481e-01 4.7859e+00 0.1765 0.8599540
idFIN -2.8593e+00 4.7851e+00 -0.5975 0.5504116
idFRA 7.1247e+00 4.9515e+00 1.4389 0.1507920
idGBR 2.5897e+00 4.8870e+00 0.5299 0.5964061
idIND 1.6993e+01 3.2753e+01 0.5188 0.6041077
idISR -4.0652e-03 4.7595e+00 -0.0009 0.9993188
idITA 2.3234e+00 4.8617e+00 0.4779 0.6329274
idJPN -6.3427e+01 1.1252e+01 -5.6367 2.883e-08 ***
idKOR -1.6765e+02 2.1875e+01 -7.6642 9.253e-14 ***
idNLD 5.2545e-01 4.7453e+00 0.1107 0.9118743
idNOR -3.7857e+00 4.7908e+00 -0.7902 0.4297866
idRUS -1.3528e+01 5.9679e+00 -2.2668 0.0238237 *
idSGP -3.1606e+00 4.7849e+00 -0.6605 0.5092140
idSWE -2.9265e+00 4.7723e+00 -0.6132 0.5399986
idTWN 7.4008e+00 4.8403e+00 1.5290 0.1268912
idUSA 2.6952e+01 1.0178e+01 2.6480 0.0083494 **
time1996 2.4937e-01 4.6744e+00 0.0533 0.9574763
time1997 -1.4194e-01 4.6737e+00 -0.0304 0.9757841
time1998 2.6744e+00 4.6788e+00 0.5716 0.5678406
time1999 2.0083e-01 4.7212e+00 0.0425 0.9660874
time2000 3.0050e+00 4.6776e+00 0.6424 0.5208959
time2001 7.9670e-01 4.6810e+00 0.1702 0.8649203
time2002 -2.5421e-01 4.7295e+00 -0.0537 0.9571557
time2003 3.0403e+00 4.6848e+00 0.6490 0.5166480
time2004 3.3092e+00 4.7294e+00 0.6997 0.4844287
time2005 9.0232e+00 4.7889e+00 1.8842 0.0601112 .
time2006 9.7048e+00 4.8032e+00 2.0205 0.0438592 *
time2007 1.6888e+01 4.8018e+00 3.5170 0.0004757 ***
time2008 1.9547e+01 4.9384e+00 3.9582 8.632e-05 ***
time2009 2.7801e+01 4.9368e+00 5.6314 2.967e-08 ***
time2010 7.4933e+00 5.0097e+00 1.4958 0.1353395
time2011 8.1881e+00 5.0485e+00 1.6219 0.1054517
time2012 -3.2283e+00 5.0554e+00 -0.6386 0.5233804
time2013 -3.7861e+00 5.0051e+00 -0.7565 0.4497280
time2014 -4.6456e+00 4.9326e+00 -0.9418 0.3467381
time2015 -2.9636e+00 4.9078e+00 -0.6038 0.5462180
time2016 7.9183e-01 4.8751e+00 0.1624 0.8710376
time2017 4.8278e+00 4.9770e+00 0.9700 0.3325044
time2018 2.3536e-01 4.9283e+00 0.0478 0.9619284
time2019 -4.5710e+00 4.9117e+00 -0.9306 0.3524890
iis164 1.0841e+02 1.7464e+01 6.2078 1.120e-09 ***
iis165 1.6983e+02 1.7803e+01 9.5395 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 2.4460e+02 1.8536e+01 13.1959 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.7236e+02 2.0061e+01 8.5918 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis168 -2.0848e+02 2.1331e+01 -9.7739 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis180 5.0656e+01 2.0162e+01 2.5125 0.0122993 *
iis181 1.3005e+02 1.9780e+01 6.5751 1.213e-10 ***
iis185 -1.2762e+02 1.9245e+01 -6.6311 8.571e-11 ***
iis186 -1.3536e+02 1.8450e+01 -7.3369 8.756e-13 ***
iis388 9.8200e+01 1.7554e+01 5.5942 3.634e-08 ***
iis397 2.4915e+02 1.7671e+01 14.0997 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 4.8823e+02 1.8852e+01 25.8979 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis399 5.2052e+02 1.9393e+01 26.8413 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 7.6996e+01 2.1711e+01 3.5465 0.0004267 ***
iis401 -1.9254e+02 2.1303e+01 -9.0382 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis403 -6.5219e+01 1.9064e+01 -3.4211 0.0006741 ***
iis406 -1.1492e+02 1.8829e+01 -6.1033 2.069e-09 ***
iis407 -5.0563e+01 1.9161e+01 -2.6389 0.0085739 **
iis415 -4.7569e+01 1.7586e+01 -2.7050 0.0070611 **
iis418 -4.9104e+01 1.7832e+01 -2.7538 0.0061036 **
iis419 -7.3024e+01 1.8074e+01 -4.0403 6.167e-05 ***
iis421 1.0134e+02 1.8541e+01 5.4658 7.246e-08 ***
iis422 8.8674e+01 1.8523e+01 4.7872 2.224e-06 ***
iis427 -1.0905e+02 1.8801e+01 -5.8003 1.167e-08 ***
iis429 2.1038e+02 1.8903e+01 11.1293 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis430 -1.7993e+02 1.8978e+01 -9.4808 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis432 -1.6718e+02 1.9267e+01 -8.6769 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis586 5.8534e+01 2.3734e+01 2.4662 0.0139859 *
iis587 3.4481e+02 2.1541e+01 16.0076 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis588 2.7318e+02 1.9668e+01 13.8900 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis589 4.7089e+02 1.8935e+01 24.8682 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis590 2.9349e+02 1.8442e+01 15.9138 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis591 1.9167e+02 1.8694e+01 10.2533 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis596 1.6899e+02 1.8864e+01 8.9582 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis598 -6.5846e+01 1.9184e+01 -3.4324 0.0006473 ***
fesisDEU.2007 6.0426e+01 1.3512e+01 4.4720 9.574e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -9.8822e+01 1.3150e+01 -7.5148 2.606e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -6.2688e+01 1.2251e+01 -5.1170 4.416e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -1.2128e+02 1.5282e+01 -7.9358 1.356e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2004 3.6211e+01 1.7825e+01 2.0315 0.0427295 *
fesisUSA.2006 -1.1719e+02 2.2706e+01 -5.1609 3.537e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2018 1.3532e+02 2.0040e+01 6.7526 3.995e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -1.7295e+02 2.3778e+01 -7.2733 1.343e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.9686 1 0.1606
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 55.1363 1 1.125e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 16.43088
R-squared 0.99576
Log-lik.(n=600) -2483.86075 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:30:43 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.378664 0.032417 11.6812 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.379616 0.139284 9.9051 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.845030 0.449291 -1.8808 0.0605493 .
idAUT 0.688552 0.374603 1.8381 0.0666124 .
idBEL 0.481014 0.285721 1.6835 0.0928692 .
idBRA -1.253656 0.964135 -1.3003 0.1940697
idCAN -0.208166 0.252128 -0.8256 0.4093831
idCHE 0.109689 0.413699 0.2651 0.7910038
idCHN -0.678782 1.721849 -0.3942 0.6935805
idDEU 1.187264 0.611512 1.9415 0.0527276 .
idDNK -3.359732 0.639292 -5.2554 2.149e-07 ***
idESP 0.760940 0.397625 1.9137 0.0561981 .
idFIN 0.322612 0.544336 0.5927 0.5536555
idFRA 0.576368 0.514015 1.1213 0.2626687
idGBR 0.628896 0.509540 1.2342 0.2176625
idIND -2.804796 1.657734 -1.6919 0.0912474 .
idISR -0.750840 0.456148 -1.6460 0.1003507
idITA 0.478792 0.485844 0.9855 0.3248376
idJPN -5.129969 0.836077 -6.1358 1.666e-09 ***
idKOR -8.635480 0.838331 -10.3008 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.369552 0.370995 -0.9961 0.3196535
idNOR -3.470487 0.720974 -4.8136 1.939e-06 ***
idRUS -4.384392 0.847967 -5.1705 3.321e-07 ***
idSGP -0.289581 0.601033 -0.4818 0.6301444
idSWE -2.357548 0.465013 -5.0699 5.521e-07 ***
idTWN 0.301616 0.199278 1.5135 0.1307414
idUSA 0.222153 1.107272 0.2006 0.8410643
time1996 -22.389928 6.660601 -3.3615 0.0008313 ***
time1997 -22.647013 6.662566 -3.3991 0.0007272 ***
time1998 -22.397482 6.665548 -3.3602 0.0008353 ***
time1999 -22.328509 6.668849 -3.3482 0.0008716 ***
time2000 -22.317862 6.670184 -3.3459 0.0008786 ***
time2001 -22.324437 6.674094 -3.3449 0.0008816 ***
time2002 -22.221597 6.676803 -3.3282 0.0009352 ***
time2003 -22.082015 6.679105 -3.3061 0.0010104 **
time2004 -22.131045 6.682048 -3.3120 0.0009898 ***
time2005 -21.974323 6.684394 -3.2874 0.0010786 **
time2006 -21.842561 6.687536 -3.2662 0.0011611 **
time2007 -21.592296 6.689217 -3.2279 0.0013245 **
time2008 -21.399771 6.690961 -3.1983 0.0014654 **
time2009 -21.230887 6.692368 -3.1724 0.0015999 **
time2010 -21.323270 6.693930 -3.1855 0.0015308 **
time2011 -21.418176 6.696948 -3.1982 0.0014660 **
time2012 -21.466869 6.700006 -3.2040 0.0014373 **
time2013 -21.732417 6.703155 -3.2421 0.0012615 **
time2014 -21.738374 6.707034 -3.2411 0.0012658 **
time2015 -21.840756 6.710201 -3.2549 0.0012073 **
time2016 -21.768239 6.713952 -3.2422 0.0012610 **
time2017 -21.865323 6.716224 -3.2556 0.0012043 **
time2018 -21.945525 6.718780 -3.2663 0.0011605 **
time2019 -22.089044 6.722275 -3.2859 0.0010840 **
iis50 1.130681 0.351977 3.2124 0.0013969 **
iis87 -1.121088 0.353345 -3.1728 0.0015979 **
iis98 -1.136936 0.352069 -3.2293 0.0013183 **
iis100 -1.301356 0.352017 -3.6969 0.0002412 ***
iis223 -1.437813 0.352687 -4.0767 5.272e-05 ***
iis237 -1.046934 0.351128 -2.9816 0.0029998 **
iis245 -1.086174 0.351351 -3.0914 0.0020974 **
iis363 -1.772360 0.351815 -5.0378 6.481e-07 ***
iis434 1.339932 0.354125 3.7838 0.0001722 ***
iis463 -1.218693 0.351145 -3.4706 0.0005618 ***
iis504 -0.954117 0.355288 -2.6855 0.0074709 **
iis515 -1.805629 0.352247 -5.1260 4.162e-07 ***
iis553 -1.158414 0.367984 -3.1480 0.0017370 **
iis556 -1.402827 0.367741 -3.8147 0.0001525 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.482768 0.150318 -3.2116 0.0014004 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.601304 0.164429 3.6569 0.0002809 ***
fesisDNK.2001 0.655361 0.175317 3.7382 0.0002057 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.933270 0.162681 5.7368 1.628e-08 ***
fesisNLD.1997 0.962657 0.352052 2.7344 0.0064594 **
fesisRUS.2004 -0.794880 0.167594 -4.7429 2.716e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2001 -0.608833 0.174306 -3.4929 0.0005180 ***
fesisTWN.2005 0.691796 0.167540 4.1291 4.233e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.3593 1 0.1245
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 17.5985 1 2.728e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33614
R-squared 0.96594
Log-lik.(n=600) -160.72229 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:31:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.41450 0.03012 13.7615 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.17624 0.13752 8.5532 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.66703 0.48119 -1.3862 0.1663058
idAUT 1.27077 0.42749 2.9726 0.0030954 **
idBEL 0.45597 0.28946 1.5753 0.1158294
idBRA -1.23706 1.04469 -1.1841 0.2369187
idCAN -0.12532 0.26598 -0.4712 0.6377184
idCHE 0.20614 0.43398 0.4750 0.6349961
idCHN -0.78124 1.86519 -0.4188 0.6755068
idDEU 1.10884 0.65095 1.7034 0.0891135 .
idDNK -2.89893 0.66163 -4.3815 1.438e-05 ***
idESP 0.43427 0.42311 1.0264 0.3052212
idFIN 1.20043 0.62385 1.9242 0.0548964 .
idFRA 0.53137 0.54946 0.9671 0.3339754
idGBR 0.55945 0.54426 1.0279 0.3044860
idIND -2.63235 1.79079 -1.4699 0.1422114
idISR -1.10421 0.57954 -1.9053 0.0573133 .
idITA 0.43564 0.52022 0.8374 0.4027596
idJPN -4.25574 0.87032 -4.8899 1.364e-06 ***
idKOR -7.36654 0.82407 -8.9392 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.27189 0.32367 -0.8400 0.4012892
idNOR -2.55691 0.78525 -3.2562 0.0012062 **
idRUS -4.01661 0.90875 -4.4199 1.213e-05 ***
idSGP -0.07414 0.69304 -0.1070 0.9148496
idSWE -2.05968 0.47539 -4.3326 1.783e-05 ***
idTWN 0.29765 0.18814 1.5821 0.1142730
idUSA 0.24912 1.18867 0.2096 0.8340808
time1996 -20.00736 7.13020 -2.8060 0.0052124 **
time1997 -20.12559 7.13396 -2.8211 0.0049771 **
time1998 -19.83322 7.13437 -2.7800 0.0056424 **
time1999 -19.81805 7.13711 -2.7768 0.0056973 **
time2000 -19.80720 7.13813 -2.7748 0.0057304 **
time2001 -19.72949 7.14252 -2.7623 0.0059525 **
time2002 -19.82375 7.14411 -2.7748 0.0057305 **
time2003 -19.64351 7.14548 -2.7491 0.0061933 **
time2004 -19.61713 7.14741 -2.7447 0.0062763 **
time2005 -19.46572 7.14933 -2.7227 0.0067015 **
time2006 -19.38112 7.15036 -2.7105 0.0069498 **
time2007 -19.14975 7.15148 -2.6777 0.0076571 **
time2008 -18.93773 7.15339 -2.6474 0.0083689 **
time2009 -18.78858 7.15491 -2.6260 0.0089061 **
time2010 -18.88237 7.15611 -2.6386 0.0085847 **
time2011 -18.97426 7.15935 -2.6503 0.0082985 **
time2012 -19.02095 7.16262 -2.6556 0.0081708 **
time2013 -19.31628 7.16587 -2.6956 0.0072640 **
time2014 -19.27457 7.17012 -2.6882 0.0074249 **
time2015 -19.39147 7.17418 -2.7030 0.0071075 **
time2016 -19.30700 7.17830 -2.6896 0.0073931 **
time2017 -19.40508 7.18051 -2.7025 0.0071177 **
time2018 -19.48090 7.18317 -2.7120 0.0069187 **
time2019 -19.66151 7.18768 -2.7354 0.0064519 **
iis8 0.71170 0.31166 2.2836 0.0228163 *
iis27 -1.06441 0.30293 -3.5138 0.0004821 ***
iis50 1.10436 0.30164 3.6612 0.0002779 ***
iis82 -0.72073 0.30309 -2.3779 0.0177864 *
iis87 -1.14400 0.30246 -3.7823 0.0001743 ***
iis98 -1.20478 0.30336 -3.9715 8.196e-05 ***
iis99 0.67905 0.30341 2.2380 0.0256593 *
iis100 -1.35669 0.30197 -4.4928 8.748e-06 ***
iis106 -0.90922 0.30131 -3.0175 0.0026789 **
iis199 0.98159 0.30497 3.2186 0.0013719 **
iis201 -0.93064 0.30363 -3.0650 0.0022947 **
iis202 0.79490 0.30568 2.6004 0.0095870 **
iis204 0.85722 0.30367 2.8229 0.0049495 **
iis210 0.83211 0.30527 2.7258 0.0066402 **
iis237 -1.17617 0.30226 -3.8913 0.0001133 ***
iis242 -0.70268 0.30564 -2.2991 0.0219143 *
iis245 -1.07605 0.30147 -3.5694 0.0003925 ***
iis264 0.94024 0.30107 3.1230 0.0018944 **
iis319 0.93661 0.30260 3.0952 0.0020776 **
iis363 -1.82933 0.30172 -6.0630 2.643e-09 ***
iis434 1.34187 0.30342 4.4225 1.199e-05 ***
iis463 -1.15164 0.30200 -3.8134 0.0001542 ***
iis481 0.83807 0.33000 2.5396 0.0114013 *
iis487 1.47235 0.30803 4.7799 2.312e-06 ***
iis488 1.16133 0.30730 3.7791 0.0001765 ***
iis491 0.77507 0.30368 2.5522 0.0110007 *
iis504 -0.84206 0.30441 -2.7662 0.0058820 **
iis515 -1.77589 0.31087 -5.7126 1.916e-08 ***
iis529 0.71151 0.33139 2.1470 0.0322731 *
iis553 -1.01269 0.31578 -3.2069 0.0014278 **
iis556 -1.42415 0.31429 -4.5313 7.346e-06 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.36062 0.13781 -2.6167 0.0091482 **
fesisAUT.1998 -0.61119 0.22084 -2.7676 0.0058565 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.56093 0.14235 3.9404 9.296e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.47999 0.18172 2.6413 0.0085175 **
fesisDNK.2001 0.51544 0.15665 3.2904 0.0010712 **
fesisESP.2001 -0.84963 0.24721 -3.4369 0.0006377 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.20434 0.22283 5.4047 1.008e-07 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.92295 0.30443 -3.0317 0.0025583 **
fesisISR.1998 0.61452 0.23160 2.6534 0.0082233 **
fesisKOR.2003 0.63050 0.18595 3.3907 0.0007526 ***
fesisKOR.2007 0.41691 0.17278 2.4130 0.0161810 *
fesisNLD.1997 0.84409 0.30239 2.7914 0.0054496 **
fesisNOR.1998 -1.35268 0.36050 -3.7522 0.0001959 ***
fesisNOR.1999 1.01173 0.30343 3.3343 0.0009190 ***
fesisRUS.2001 -0.60693 0.18480 -3.2843 0.0010944 **
fesisSGP.2001 -0.78836 0.24746 -3.1858 0.0015339 **
fesisSGP.2003 1.13449 0.26867 4.2226 2.872e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.50548 0.20155 -2.5079 0.0124615 *
fesisSWE.2001 -0.42590 0.16451 -2.5889 0.0099113 **
fesisTWN.2005 0.67073 0.14519 4.6198 4.898e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.33894 1 0.5604
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.46044 1 0.4974
SE of regression 0.28700
R-squared 0.97653
Log-lik.(n=600) -51.40885 Ihs Count
0.01
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:50:26 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.307951 0.032071 9.6023 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 1.613572 0.152880 10.5545 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_pop -0.059277 0.549914 -0.1078 0.9142008
idAUT 1.599948 0.470275 3.4022 0.0007198 ***
idBEL 1.122833 0.353556 3.1758 0.0015822 **
idBRA -3.793587 1.203999 -3.1508 0.0017213 **
idCAN -0.063459 0.388690 -0.1633 0.8703748
idCHE 1.003766 0.514132 1.9523 0.0514299 .
idCHN -4.773825 2.171206 -2.1987 0.0283366 *
idDEU 0.019415 0.756242 0.0257 0.9795279
idDNK -3.033047 0.761754 -3.9817 7.812e-05 ***
idESP 0.069745 0.477030 0.1462 0.8838148
idFIN 1.575619 0.688396 2.2888 0.0224871 *
idFRA -0.442627 0.634161 -0.6980 0.4855040
idGBR -0.332874 0.625453 -0.5322 0.5948043
idIND -7.158571 2.105248 -3.4003 0.0007244 ***
idISR 0.026244 0.558636 0.0470 0.9625483
idITA -0.477906 0.597081 -0.8004 0.4238404
idJPN -7.801791 1.059953 -7.3605 7.153e-13 ***
idKOR -10.930691 0.968339 -11.2881 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD -0.368476 0.410011 -0.8987 0.3692275
idNOR -2.809198 0.855505 -3.2837 0.0010932 **
idRUS -7.165193 1.085795 -6.5990 1.017e-10 ***
idSGP 1.082705 0.826027 1.3107 0.1905215
idSWE -2.089749 0.536480 -3.8953 0.0001108 ***
idTWN 0.207113 0.215665 0.9603 0.3373245
idUSA -2.339881 1.397258 -1.6746 0.0946059 .
time1996 -42.556350 8.910296 -4.7761 2.324e-06 ***
time1997 -42.780354 8.912117 -4.8002 2.071e-06 ***
time1998 -42.631281 8.915993 -4.7814 2.266e-06 ***
time1999 -42.456963 8.920529 -4.7595 2.516e-06 ***
time2000 -42.429139 8.922126 -4.7555 2.563e-06 ***
time2001 -42.422416 8.925837 -4.7528 2.597e-06 ***
time2002 -42.269501 8.929514 -4.7337 2.842e-06 ***
time2003 -42.177054 8.932242 -4.7219 3.005e-06 ***
time2004 -42.241144 8.935754 -4.7272 2.931e-06 ***
time2005 -42.032144 8.937366 -4.7030 3.285e-06 ***
time2006 -41.900832 8.940851 -4.6864 3.550e-06 ***
time2007 -41.618794 8.941597 -4.6545 4.121e-06 ***
time2008 -41.400992 8.943773 -4.6290 4.640e-06 ***
time2009 -41.199138 8.945493 -4.6056 5.172e-06 ***
time2010 -41.297301 8.947571 -4.6155 4.940e-06 ***
time2011 -41.398470 8.951643 -4.6247 4.734e-06 ***
time2012 -41.454923 8.955540 -4.6290 4.641e-06 ***
time2013 -41.748699 8.959568 -4.6597 4.023e-06 ***
time2014 -41.786492 8.964532 -4.6613 3.993e-06 ***
time2015 -41.909039 8.968591 -4.6729 3.783e-06 ***
time2016 -41.889155 8.973059 -4.6683 3.864e-06 ***
time2017 -41.960406 8.976392 -4.6745 3.754e-06 ***
time2018 -42.051984 8.979742 -4.6830 3.608e-06 ***
time2019 -42.214054 8.984221 -4.6987 3.352e-06 ***
iis50 1.233754 0.386272 3.1940 0.0014877 **
iis87 -1.268753 0.387421 -3.2749 0.0011271 **
iis98 -2.117294 0.463638 -4.5667 6.185e-06 ***
iis100 -1.399987 0.387288 -3.6149 0.0003296 ***
iis223 -1.763600 0.386485 -4.5632 6.285e-06 ***
iis242 -1.059390 0.389380 -2.7207 0.0067311 **
iis245 -1.540232 0.385710 -3.9932 7.451e-05 ***
iis363 -2.103799 0.386218 -5.4472 7.889e-08 ***
iis463 -1.667984 0.385241 -4.3297 1.790e-05 ***
iis504 -1.057648 0.389802 -2.7133 0.0068815 **
iis515 -2.083803 0.398069 -5.2348 2.396e-07 ***
iis553 -1.607632 0.401358 -4.0055 7.086e-05 ***
iis556 -1.785207 0.400198 -4.4608 1.000e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.679069 0.168024 -4.0415 6.109e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.844861 0.181541 4.6538 4.134e-06 ***
fesisCAN.1999 -0.750574 0.282273 -2.6590 0.0080767 **
fesisDNK.2001 1.024159 0.193526 5.2921 1.782e-07 ***
fesisKOR.2003 0.986028 0.176858 5.5753 3.966e-08 ***
fesisNLD.1997 2.338502 0.461482 5.0674 5.604e-07 ***
fesisNLD.1999 -1.146177 0.280207 -4.0905 4.984e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -0.740077 0.183439 -4.0345 6.289e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -1.078626 0.316370 -3.4094 0.0007014 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.551985 0.344135 4.5098 8.017e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.743622 0.256310 -2.9013 0.0038732 **
fesisSWE.2001 -0.695526 0.191258 -3.6366 0.0003036 ***
fesisTWN.2006 0.806029 0.178363 4.5190 7.688e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.9081 1 0.1672
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 20.3928 1 6.307e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36856
R-squared 0.96512
Log-lik.(n=600) -213.96893 0.05
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:50:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.284481 0.030321 9.3824 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 1.734537 0.133718 12.9716 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_pop -0.528765 0.509005 -1.0388 0.2993914
idAUT 2.123410 0.478979 4.4332 1.143e-05 ***
idBEL 0.941292 0.322945 2.9147 0.0037201 **
idBRA -2.720928 1.120977 -2.4273 0.0155653 *
idCAN -0.616361 0.285964 -2.1554 0.0316099 *
idCHE 1.196164 0.502645 2.3797 0.0176996 *
idCHN -3.215474 2.032078 -1.5824 0.1142016
idDEU 0.618661 0.700801 0.8828 0.3777741
idDNK -3.712282 0.692224 -5.3628 1.255e-07 ***
idESP 0.323455 0.441258 0.7330 0.4638856
idFIN 2.183672 0.694918 3.1423 0.0017756 **
idFRA 0.041454 0.589151 0.0704 0.9439340
idGBR 0.154423 0.580170 0.2662 0.7902194
idIND -5.819402 1.978685 -2.9410 0.0034230 **
idISR -0.995629 0.627273 -1.5872 0.1130930
idITA -0.024777 0.555096 -0.0446 0.9644157
idJPN -7.607444 0.982716 -7.7412 5.516e-14 ***
idKOR -11.294263 0.867317 -13.0221 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.949182 0.269548 7.2313 1.810e-12 ***
idNOR -3.330727 0.798397 -4.1718 3.565e-05 ***
idRUS -6.825109 1.030403 -6.6237 9.084e-11 ***
idSGP 0.528238 0.765536 0.6900 0.4905003
idSWE -2.560946 0.480807 -5.3264 1.519e-07 ***
idTWN 0.272062 0.188929 1.4400 0.1504878
idUSA -1.329595 1.304275 -1.0194 0.3085008
time1996 -37.833136 8.374320 -4.5178 7.810e-06 ***
time1997 -38.003022 8.377881 -4.5361 7.185e-06 ***
time1998 -37.747986 8.376615 -4.5064 8.224e-06 ***
time1999 -37.671366 8.380710 -4.4950 8.657e-06 ***
time2000 -37.632959 8.382488 -4.4895 8.876e-06 ***
time2001 -37.484648 8.385768 -4.4700 9.688e-06 ***
time2002 -37.546677 8.387007 -4.4768 9.399e-06 ***
time2003 -37.310912 8.388727 -4.4477 1.071e-05 ***
time2004 -37.289702 8.389867 -4.4446 1.086e-05 ***
time2005 -37.118123 8.389622 -4.4243 1.189e-05 ***
time2006 -36.985575 8.392398 -4.4070 1.284e-05 ***
time2007 -36.755193 8.393384 -4.3791 1.453e-05 ***
time2008 -36.489090 8.394722 -4.3467 1.676e-05 ***
time2009 -36.271154 8.395438 -4.3203 1.881e-05 ***
time2010 -36.366219 8.397368 -4.3307 1.798e-05 ***
time2011 -36.465660 8.400600 -4.3408 1.719e-05 ***
time2012 -36.544372 8.405014 -4.3479 1.667e-05 ***
time2013 -36.869022 8.408689 -4.3846 1.418e-05 ***
time2014 -36.885409 8.414858 -4.3834 1.426e-05 ***
time2015 -37.008182 8.418797 -4.3959 1.349e-05 ***
time2016 -36.990017 8.423245 -4.3914 1.376e-05 ***
time2017 -37.061289 8.426344 -4.3983 1.335e-05 ***
time2018 -37.153417 8.429544 -4.4075 1.281e-05 ***
time2019 -37.350464 8.434286 -4.4284 1.167e-05 ***
iis27 -1.047117 0.332870 -3.1457 0.0017557 **
iis50 1.286100 0.330157 3.8954 0.0001114 ***
iis87 -1.222929 0.346798 -3.5263 0.0004602 ***
iis98 -1.332508 0.332211 -4.0110 6.971e-05 ***
iis99 0.910390 0.332822 2.7354 0.0064529 **
iis100 -1.367116 0.331208 -4.1277 4.295e-05 ***
iis199 1.047029 0.334116 3.1337 0.0018275 **
iis201 -1.269473 0.332470 -3.8183 0.0001513 ***
iis202 0.758543 0.335878 2.2584 0.0243527 *
iis204 0.848663 0.332641 2.5513 0.0110298 *
iis210 0.787348 0.334042 2.3570 0.0188069 *
iis242 -1.133783 0.397270 -2.8539 0.0044976 **
iis245 -1.103713 0.337411 -3.2711 0.0011453 **
iis264 0.720546 0.343412 2.0982 0.0363897 *
iis319 1.147975 0.330824 3.4700 0.0005655 ***
iis363 -2.154480 0.331024 -6.5085 1.851e-10 ***
iis433 -2.241796 0.394397 -5.6841 2.239e-08 ***
iis459 -1.469577 0.353191 -4.1609 3.734e-05 ***
iis463 -1.514763 0.332340 -4.5579 6.507e-06 ***
iis481 0.882110 0.361115 2.4427 0.0149221 *
iis487 1.690532 0.336468 5.0243 7.049e-07 ***
iis488 1.413685 0.335642 4.2119 3.005e-05 ***
iis491 0.785492 0.332870 2.3598 0.0186710 *
iis504 -0.930493 0.333101 -2.7934 0.0054157 **
iis515 -2.147013 0.341139 -6.2937 6.795e-10 ***
iis553 -1.514754 0.343047 -4.4156 1.236e-05 ***
iis556 -1.707721 0.341917 -4.9946 8.168e-07 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.689824 0.147820 -4.6667 3.938e-06 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -0.821485 0.242274 -3.3907 0.0007523 ***
fesisBRA.2005 -1.050500 0.253718 -4.1404 4.070e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2007 0.753360 0.262814 2.8665 0.0043256 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.951331 0.190065 5.0053 7.747e-07 ***
fesisCHE.2001 -0.711047 0.168361 -4.2233 2.861e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 0.865366 0.173203 4.9963 8.100e-07 ***
fesisESP.2001 -1.172601 0.271251 -4.3229 1.859e-05 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.377544 0.243082 5.6670 2.460e-08 ***
fesisFIN.1997 -0.886308 0.395576 -2.2406 0.0254944 *
fesisFIN.2000 -0.553648 0.249334 -2.2205 0.0268327 *
fesisFIN.2012 0.598759 0.158443 3.7790 0.0001765 ***
fesisISR.1998 0.611152 0.254783 2.3987 0.0168187 *
fesisKOR.2003 0.551689 0.203150 2.7157 0.0068436 **
fesisKOR.2007 0.501788 0.187555 2.6754 0.0077086 **
fesisNLD.1999 -1.159210 0.240364 -4.8227 1.884e-06 ***
fesisNOR.2002 -0.334717 0.167161 -2.0024 0.0457866 *
fesisRUS.2001 -0.818205 0.198889 -4.1139 4.551e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2001 -1.085356 0.271306 -4.0005 7.279e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.467303 0.293926 4.9921 8.268e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.642431 0.221173 -2.9047 0.0038396 **
fesisSWE.2001 -0.768673 0.165294 -4.6503 4.249e-06 ***
fesisTWN.2006 0.833838 0.154361 5.4019 1.023e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.34536 1 0.5567
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.14169 1 0.1433
SE of regression 0.31423
R-squared 0.97581
Log-lik.(n=600) -106.28685 Wind
top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:36:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.2251e-01 1.8448e-02 44.5841 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 4.0970e-15 4.8825e-15 0.8391 0.4017944
pop 3.2816e-08 1.3073e-08 2.5102 0.0123687 *
idAUT 6.6082e-01 2.3213e+00 0.2847 0.7760010
idBEL 1.6117e-01 2.3191e+00 0.0695 0.9446202
idBRA -6.5129e+00 3.2106e+00 -2.0286 0.0430123 *
idCAN 1.0155e+00 2.3240e+00 0.4370 0.6623028
idCHE 2.4839e-01 2.3218e+00 0.1070 0.9148436
idCHN -3.1448e+01 1.7071e+01 -1.8422 0.0660106 .
idDEU 1.5893e+01 3.3502e+00 4.7439 2.713e-06 ***
idDNK 8.4348e+00 2.9717e+00 2.8383 0.0047124 **
idESP 4.1764e+00 2.6946e+00 1.5499 0.1217769
idFIN -1.5816e-01 2.3245e+00 -0.0680 0.9457789
idFRA 1.2287e+00 2.3857e+00 0.5150 0.6067619
idGBR 6.6380e+00 2.4467e+00 2.7131 0.0068873 **
idIND -3.7107e+01 1.5474e+01 -2.3980 0.0168383 *
idISR -3.4910e-02 2.3222e+00 -0.0150 0.9880117
idITA 4.2822e-01 2.3665e+00 0.1810 0.8564770
idJPN 7.7242e+00 3.7503e+00 2.0596 0.0399312 *
idKOR -5.0360e-01 6.6281e+00 -0.0760 0.9394643
idNLD 2.6947e+00 2.3245e+00 1.1593 0.2468829
idNOR 1.2616e+00 2.3253e+00 0.5426 0.5876654
idRUS -4.6086e+00 2.8399e+00 -1.6228 0.1052367
idSGP 6.4202e-01 2.3256e+00 0.2761 0.7826108
idSWE 4.5373e-01 2.3209e+00 0.1955 0.8450820
idTWN 7.1667e-01 2.3156e+00 0.3095 0.7570682
idUSA -1.1868e+00 4.8239e+00 -0.2460 0.8057582
time1996 -2.4656e+00 2.2871e+00 -1.0781 0.2814995
time1997 -3.1883e+00 2.2863e+00 -1.3945 0.1637555
time1998 -1.9888e+00 2.2878e+00 -0.8693 0.3850826
time1999 -6.0851e-01 2.2864e+00 -0.2661 0.7902379
time2000 -1.2903e+00 2.2842e+00 -0.5649 0.5724017
time2001 5.0870e-01 2.2839e+00 0.2227 0.8238311
time2002 -1.0437e+00 2.2831e+00 -0.4571 0.6477613
time2003 -8.3199e-02 2.2840e+00 -0.0364 0.9709559
time2004 -1.5463e+00 2.2896e+00 -0.6754 0.4997420
time2005 -6.2646e-01 2.2908e+00 -0.2735 0.7846012
time2006 3.9723e+00 2.2971e+00 1.7292 0.0843630 .
time2007 3.4646e+00 2.3362e+00 1.4830 0.1386823
time2008 8.0237e+00 2.3465e+00 3.4195 0.0006767 ***
time2009 1.0314e+01 2.3324e+00 4.4222 1.191e-05 ***
time2010 3.2565e+00 2.4208e+00 1.3452 0.1791332
time2011 5.0091e+00 2.4072e+00 2.0809 0.0379360 *
time2012 -4.1809e+00 2.4107e+00 -1.7343 0.0834570 .
time2013 -4.4581e+00 2.3839e+00 -1.8701 0.0620383 .
time2014 -3.7418e-01 2.3510e+00 -0.1592 0.8736068
time2015 -6.0410e-01 2.3389e+00 -0.2583 0.7962879
time2016 8.7473e-01 2.3851e+00 0.3667 0.7139610
time2017 4.6601e+00 2.3633e+00 1.9719 0.0491496 *
time2018 -2.7232e+00 2.3968e+00 -1.1362 0.2564066
time2019 1.1705e+00 2.3933e+00 0.4891 0.6250036
iis181 3.3154e+01 9.0268e+00 3.6728 0.0002648 ***
iis183 1.0114e+02 8.9866e+00 11.2546 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -7.7885e+01 9.5901e+00 -8.1213 3.382e-15 ***
iis189 5.7938e+01 9.4729e+00 6.1162 1.887e-09 ***
iis191 4.5482e+01 9.4732e+00 4.8011 2.067e-06 ***
iis192 -4.4129e+01 9.5280e+00 -4.6315 4.596e-06 ***
iis204 4.7308e+01 9.1802e+00 5.1532 3.645e-07 ***
iis205 6.3269e+01 8.9411e+00 7.0762 4.827e-12 ***
iis207 7.7260e+01 8.8628e+00 8.7173 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis209 -4.6406e+01 8.9557e+00 -5.1817 3.153e-07 ***
iis213 4.9210e+01 8.8796e+00 5.5419 4.765e-08 ***
iis215 5.1016e+01 8.8566e+00 5.7603 1.440e-08 ***
iis399 6.3747e+01 8.4210e+00 7.5700 1.717e-13 ***
iis588 4.2815e+01 1.0576e+01 4.0483 5.946e-05 ***
iis590 6.5921e+01 1.0043e+01 6.5636 1.275e-10 ***
iis594 6.6143e+01 1.0075e+01 6.5649 1.265e-10 ***
iis595 -4.7984e+01 1.0169e+01 -4.7186 3.057e-06 ***
iis598 8.8138e+01 1.0046e+01 8.7736 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.8716e+01 5.2238e+00 5.4971 6.062e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.7982e+01 5.9891e+00 -3.0025 0.0028071 **
fesisDNK.2007 2.0277e+01 5.2709e+00 3.8470 0.0001345 ***
fesisDNK.2019 -3.2995e+01 8.9119e+00 -3.7023 0.0002365 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.4786e+01 6.1843e+00 5.6249 3.037e-08 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.1826e+01 6.5792e+00 -6.3573 4.502e-10 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -1.7948e+01 4.5788e+00 -3.9197 0.0001005 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.2393e+01 5.6067e+00 3.9940 7.436e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2007 4.9943e+01 8.4543e+00 5.9074 6.292e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -9.0798e+01 8.2255e+00 -11.0387 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2013 2.5274e+01 8.5865e+00 2.9434 0.0033912 **
fesisUSA.2017 -2.5321e+01 8.1983e+00 -3.0886 0.0021190 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.6564 1 0.4178
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 31.8100 1 1.7e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.01947
R-squared 0.98500
Log-lik.(n=600) -2059.98632 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:36:06 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.5375e-01 1.6552e-02 45.5378 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 6.9545e-15 4.2550e-15 1.6344 0.1027828
pop 2.3369e-08 1.1678e-08 2.0011 0.0459052 *
idAUT 5.3282e-01 2.0215e+00 0.2636 0.7922070
idBEL 3.0306e-02 2.0195e+00 0.0150 0.9880328
idBRA -5.2266e+00 2.8285e+00 -1.8478 0.0652031 .
idCAN 1.6883e+00 2.0243e+00 0.8340 0.4046789
idCHE 2.7166e-02 2.0220e+00 0.0134 0.9892858
idCHN -2.1355e+01 1.5129e+01 -1.4116 0.1586794
idDEU 2.0257e+01 2.9340e+00 6.9041 1.502e-11 ***
idDNK 6.2938e+00 2.6721e+00 2.3553 0.0188822 *
idESP 5.2500e+00 2.3471e+00 2.2368 0.0257297 *
idFIN -4.8974e-01 2.0246e+00 -0.2419 0.8089573
idFRA 2.4843e+00 2.0825e+00 1.1929 0.2334475
idGBR 7.8512e+00 2.1594e+00 3.6359 0.0003051 ***
idIND -2.5918e+01 1.3817e+01 -1.8758 0.0612459 .
idISR -2.8621e-01 2.0224e+00 -0.1415 0.8875166
idITA 1.2828e+00 2.0639e+00 0.6215 0.5345215
idJPN 4.2332e+00 3.4547e+00 1.2253 0.2210141
idKOR -2.2347e+00 5.7728e+00 -0.3871 0.6988403
idNLD 3.3673e+00 2.0243e+00 1.6634 0.0968397 .
idNOR 1.1561e+00 2.0251e+00 0.5709 0.5683378
idRUS -3.7737e+00 2.4923e+00 -1.5142 0.1305971
idSGP 5.8848e-01 2.0254e+00 0.2906 0.7715105
idSWE 4.6500e-01 2.0210e+00 0.2301 0.8181215
idTWN 9.1554e-01 2.0163e+00 0.4541 0.6499676
idUSA 2.1220e+00 4.2640e+00 0.4976 0.6189447
time1996 -2.3710e+00 1.9909e+00 -1.1909 0.2342412
time1997 -3.0313e+00 1.9904e+00 -1.5230 0.1283815
time1998 -1.8135e+00 1.9917e+00 -0.9105 0.3629769
time1999 -3.4529e-01 1.9907e+00 -0.1734 0.8623701
time2000 -8.5562e-01 1.9893e+00 -0.4301 0.6672961
time2001 1.0473e+00 1.9894e+00 0.5264 0.5988164
time2002 -2.9413e-01 1.9895e+00 -0.1478 0.8825262
time2003 -5.9552e-01 2.0096e+00 -0.2963 0.7670942
time2004 -7.4105e-01 1.9955e+00 -0.3714 0.7105198
time2005 2.5137e-01 1.9969e+00 0.1259 0.8998756
time2006 2.8169e+00 2.0131e+00 1.3993 0.1623430
time2007 4.2184e+00 2.0365e+00 2.0714 0.0388194 *
time2008 9.1287e+00 2.0468e+00 4.4600 1.008e-05 ***
time2009 1.1802e+01 2.0537e+00 5.7470 1.562e-08 ***
time2010 5.6317e+00 2.1169e+00 2.6604 0.0080502 **
time2011 4.2543e+00 2.1305e+00 1.9969 0.0463636 *
time2012 -2.4998e+00 2.1091e+00 -1.1853 0.2364589
time2013 -9.5863e-01 2.0993e+00 -0.4566 0.6481238
time2014 6.1153e-01 2.0588e+00 0.2970 0.7665634
time2015 5.2906e-01 2.0399e+00 0.2594 0.7954651
time2016 1.0010e+00 2.0710e+00 0.4834 0.6290484
time2017 4.6037e+00 2.0650e+00 2.2293 0.0262249 *
time2018 -1.6543e+00 2.1047e+00 -0.7860 0.4322314
time2019 7.4325e-01 2.0863e+00 0.3563 0.7217977
iis181 2.8204e+01 7.8655e+00 3.5858 0.0003683 ***
iis183 9.9781e+01 7.8254e+00 12.7509 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -7.4116e+01 8.3669e+00 -8.8582 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis189 5.6656e+01 8.2481e+00 6.8690 1.882e-11 ***
iis191 4.6651e+01 8.2566e+00 5.6501 2.664e-08 ***
iis192 -3.9362e+01 8.3017e+00 -4.7414 2.755e-06 ***
iis204 3.0527e+01 8.7737e+00 3.4794 0.0005455 ***
iis205 5.0858e+01 8.7425e+00 5.8174 1.054e-08 ***
iis207 4.7111e+01 1.0156e+01 4.6387 4.458e-06 ***
iis209 -7.0865e+01 1.0083e+01 -7.0278 6.728e-12 ***
iis210 -4.4597e+01 8.2645e+00 -5.3962 1.043e-07 ***
iis213 4.7453e+01 8.2418e+00 5.7576 1.472e-08 ***
iis215 7.9816e+01 1.0123e+01 7.8848 1.913e-14 ***
iis304 3.8274e+01 7.3077e+00 5.2375 2.381e-07 ***
iis392 3.3414e+01 7.3990e+00 4.5160 7.830e-06 ***
iis399 5.2167e+01 7.8687e+00 6.6297 8.555e-11 ***
iis407 -2.3785e+01 8.2456e+00 -2.8846 0.0040838 **
iis588 3.0292e+01 9.2398e+00 3.2785 0.0011146 **
iis590 6.4572e+01 8.7503e+00 7.3794 6.467e-13 ***
iis594 7.4432e+01 7.9904e+00 9.3152 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis595 -3.4823e+01 7.9807e+00 -4.3634 1.550e-05 ***
iis598 8.6729e+01 8.7515e+00 9.9102 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 2.6297e+01 4.1384e+00 6.3543 4.633e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.9936e+01 4.5949e+00 8.6913 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -1.8927e+01 5.2178e+00 -3.6275 0.0003149 ***
fesisDNK.2006 4.2754e+01 5.7387e+00 7.4501 3.994e-13 ***
fesisDNK.2010 2.3110e+01 9.1064e+00 2.5378 0.0114512 *
fesisDNK.2013 -3.0341e+01 8.3879e+00 -3.6173 0.0003272 ***
fesisDNK.2018 -2.8223e+01 8.3468e+00 -3.3813 0.0007766 ***
fesisESP.2011 3.8530e+01 5.3932e+00 7.1441 3.132e-12 ***
fesisESP.2013 -4.3070e+01 5.7322e+00 -7.5137 2.582e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2010 1.9047e+01 4.0219e+00 4.7358 2.829e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -2.0821e+01 5.2281e+00 -3.9825 7.808e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2004 2.6095e+01 4.8899e+00 5.3364 1.427e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2007 6.4330e+01 7.4058e+00 8.6865 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -7.8826e+01 6.2108e+00 -12.6919 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -1.7577e+01 6.2794e+00 -2.7991 0.0053175 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.368 1 0.2422
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 23.394 1 1.32e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 6.98270
R-squared 0.98878
Log-lik.(n=600) -1973.42483 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:48:04 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.43814 0.03436 12.7514 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.09074 0.15805 6.9014 1.464e-11 ***
lpop -2.79688 0.60574 -4.6173 4.876e-06 ***
idAUT -0.83775 0.52891 -1.5839 0.1138028
idBEL -0.42772 0.39696 -1.0775 0.2817432
idBRA 4.69330 1.27347 3.6854 0.0002516 ***
idCAN 1.47218 0.29146 5.0511 6.039e-07 ***
idCHE -1.86730 0.58330 -3.2013 0.0014495 **
idCHN 8.82913 2.33808 3.7762 0.0001771 ***
idDEU 4.86754 0.82011 5.9352 5.284e-09 ***
idDNK -3.03565 0.82871 -3.6631 0.0002740 ***
idESP 3.27505 0.50174 6.5274 1.558e-10 ***
idFIN -1.97760 0.77245 -2.5602 0.0107359 *
idFRA 3.31861 0.66509 4.9897 8.193e-07 ***
idGBR 3.73809 0.66305 5.6377 2.795e-08 ***
idIND 7.15323 2.24496 3.1864 0.0015250 **
idISR -2.56859 0.63694 -4.0327 6.317e-05 ***
idITA 3.11236 0.62077 5.0137 7.277e-07 ***
idJPN -1.06834 1.15147 -0.9278 0.3539269
idKOR -4.33127 0.96006 -4.5114 7.923e-06 ***
idNLD 0.74523 0.19948 3.7359 0.0002072 ***
idNOR -4.74527 0.95743 -4.9563 9.665e-07 ***
idRUS 1.73331 1.10868 1.5634 0.1185506
idSGP -3.00094 0.90934 -3.3001 0.0010310 **
idSWE -2.45989 0.58573 -4.1997 3.131e-05 ***
idTWN 0.82545 0.15905 5.1899 2.995e-07 ***
idUSA 6.36725 1.50873 4.2203 2.867e-05 ***
time1996 16.96773 9.18281 1.8478 0.0651884 .
time1997 16.81614 9.18807 1.8302 0.0677750 .
time1998 16.87668 9.19187 1.8360 0.0669068 .
time1999 17.27189 9.19641 1.8781 0.0609104 .
time2000 17.04261 9.20302 1.8519 0.0645991 .
time2001 17.22422 9.20797 1.8706 0.0619505 .
time2002 17.33954 9.21420 1.8818 0.0604029 .
time2003 17.32335 9.22076 1.8787 0.0608253 .
time2004 17.45316 9.22360 1.8922 0.0590012 .
time2005 17.58550 9.22891 1.9055 0.0572546 .
time2006 17.81377 9.23525 1.9289 0.0542742 .
time2007 17.90190 9.23816 1.9378 0.0531719 .
time2008 18.10723 9.24538 1.9585 0.0506896 .
time2009 18.26807 9.25192 1.9745 0.0488378 *
time2010 18.15409 9.25732 1.9611 0.0503922 .
time2011 18.16340 9.26117 1.9612 0.0503700 .
time2012 18.02991 9.26416 1.9462 0.0521548 .
time2013 17.82961 9.26728 1.9239 0.0548944 .
time2014 17.87331 9.26984 1.9281 0.0543706 .
time2015 17.66758 9.27300 1.9053 0.0572817 .
time2016 17.86693 9.27640 1.9261 0.0546271 .
time2017 17.95444 9.28022 1.9347 0.0535548 .
time2018 17.72550 9.28418 1.9092 0.0567701 .
time2019 17.69091 9.28644 1.9050 0.0573136 .
iis7 1.33841 0.43122 3.1038 0.0020119 **
iis31 -1.76300 0.43150 -4.0858 5.067e-05 ***
iis53 1.38287 0.42907 3.2229 0.0013462 **
iis59 -1.82408 0.42894 -4.2525 2.496e-05 ***
iis92 1.31058 0.42895 3.0553 0.0023606 **
iis151 -1.42548 0.43459 -3.2801 0.0011056 **
iis249 1.22385 0.42975 2.8478 0.0045717 **
iis344 -1.29648 0.43015 -3.0140 0.0027005 **
iis364 -1.57223 0.42959 -3.6599 0.0002774 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.68326 0.17917 3.8135 0.0001530 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.03461 0.26501 3.9040 0.0001067 ***
fesisRUS.2003 -0.90048 0.21148 -4.2581 2.437e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.22964 0.24275 5.0654 5.622e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.21294 0.24525 -4.9457 1.018e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2002 -0.87955 0.20289 -4.3352 1.741e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 3.9355 1 0.047278 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 9.5327 1 0.002018 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41092
R-squared 0.93032
Log-lik.(n=600) -284.74341 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:49:55 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.370886 0.032838 11.2945 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.661756 0.200980 3.2926 0.0010615 **
lpop -2.868005 0.611867 -4.6873 3.559e-06 ***
idAUT -1.677827 0.524878 -3.1966 0.0014770 **
idBEL -1.083330 0.397410 -2.7260 0.0066322 **
idBRA 5.188888 1.308219 3.9664 8.344e-05 ***
idCAN 1.654339 0.338200 4.8916 1.344e-06 ***
idCHE -2.218840 0.563541 -3.9373 9.387e-05 ***
idCHN 10.095856 2.386539 4.2303 2.768e-05 ***
idDEU 5.473250 0.854958 6.4018 3.492e-10 ***
idDNK -3.528649 0.851274 -4.1451 3.978e-05 ***
idESP 2.660721 0.569918 4.6686 3.884e-06 ***
idFIN -2.781788 0.745418 -3.7319 0.0002115 ***
idFRA 3.681914 0.703723 5.2321 2.454e-07 ***
idGBR 3.281561 0.721983 4.5452 6.864e-06 ***
idIND 8.718280 2.248575 3.8772 0.0001195 ***
idISR -2.795717 0.621269 -4.5000 8.428e-06 ***
idITA 3.311883 0.662159 5.0016 7.838e-07 ***
idJPN 1.642930 1.306125 1.2579 0.2090169
idKOR -2.064616 1.229800 -1.6788 0.0938002 .
idNLD 0.462147 0.223684 2.0661 0.0393274 *
idNOR -4.579633 0.964247 -4.7494 2.656e-06 ***
idRUS 3.418061 1.165273 2.9333 0.0035053 **
idSGP -3.965742 0.886767 -4.4721 9.558e-06 ***
idSWE -2.157545 0.596317 -3.6181 0.0003264 ***
idTWN 0.658839 0.216024 3.0498 0.0024089 **
idUSA 7.852755 1.540743 5.0967 4.880e-07 ***
time1996 30.229406 9.289457 3.2542 0.0012129 **
time1997 30.043691 9.294934 3.2323 0.0013077 **
time1998 30.054168 9.298580 3.2321 0.0013083 **
time1999 30.412174 9.305169 3.2683 0.0011550 **
time2000 30.204170 9.314288 3.2428 0.0012613 **
time2001 30.404856 9.319531 3.2625 0.0011785 **
time2002 30.544934 9.324195 3.2759 0.0011251 **
time2003 30.502116 9.332486 3.2684 0.0011547 **
time2004 30.627056 9.335805 3.2806 0.0011069 **
time2005 30.822947 9.340053 3.3001 0.0010343 **
time2006 31.130395 9.347951 3.3302 0.0009309 ***
time2007 31.208477 9.352533 3.3369 0.0009091 ***
time2008 31.448687 9.357791 3.3607 0.0008359 ***
time2009 31.585919 9.363957 3.3731 0.0007998 ***
time2010 31.508824 9.370643 3.3625 0.0008305 ***
time2011 31.532839 9.375018 3.3635 0.0008276 ***
time2012 31.407805 9.378126 3.3490 0.0008710 ***
time2013 31.203759 9.381117 3.3262 0.0009439 ***
time2014 31.239136 9.383491 3.3292 0.0009342 ***
time2015 31.074579 9.384578 3.3112 0.0009948 ***
time2016 31.234052 9.390124 3.3263 0.0009438 ***
time2017 31.373617 9.393589 3.3399 0.0008996 ***
time2018 31.084122 9.399553 3.3070 0.0010097 **
time2019 31.122878 9.400322 3.3108 0.0009962 ***
iis22 -0.865739 0.379299 -2.2825 0.0228732 *
iis31 -1.606532 0.380438 -4.2228 2.858e-05 ***
iis53 1.448910 0.375395 3.8597 0.0001281 ***
iis59 -1.812362 0.375422 -4.8275 1.831e-06 ***
iis60 0.836489 0.380577 2.1980 0.0284021 *
iis71 1.138681 0.375257 3.0344 0.0025333 **
iis72 -0.914621 0.377085 -2.4255 0.0156338 *
iis92 1.303021 0.374323 3.4810 0.0005425 ***
iis131 -1.198434 0.374325 -3.2016 0.0014522 **
iis133 -0.952452 0.373842 -2.5477 0.0111352 *
iis151 -1.185341 0.392353 -3.0211 0.0026452 **
iis249 1.107884 0.386457 2.8668 0.0043186 **
iis267 -1.104303 0.375844 -2.9382 0.0034510 **
iis344 -1.304739 0.375742 -3.4724 0.0005597 ***
iis356 -0.924472 0.377816 -2.4469 0.0147470 *
iis364 -1.513200 0.375270 -4.0323 6.370e-05 ***
iis552 -0.851209 0.377729 -2.2535 0.0246529 *
iis577 -1.657960 0.377234 -4.3950 1.349e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2002 0.901011 0.259384 3.4737 0.0005572 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.857233 0.237176 -3.6143 0.0003311 ***
fesisAUT.2000 0.981341 0.317517 3.0907 0.0021064 **
fesisAUT.2002 -0.903707 0.274806 -3.2885 0.0010768 **
fesisCHN.2004 0.716281 0.241642 2.9642 0.0031767 **
fesisDNK.1998 1.720065 0.448012 3.8393 0.0001389 ***
fesisDNK.1999 -1.021433 0.392801 -2.6004 0.0095827 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.715876 0.172631 4.1469 3.949e-05 ***
fesisESP.1999 1.208207 0.423206 2.8549 0.0044809 **
fesisESP.2000 -1.144045 0.423398 -2.7021 0.0071212 **
fesisESP.2003 0.741592 0.231991 3.1966 0.0014768 **
fesisFIN.2007 -1.058966 0.384801 -2.7520 0.0061349 **
fesisFIN.2008 0.873166 0.381552 2.2885 0.0225196 *
fesisGBR.2000 0.880233 0.203947 4.3160 1.910e-05 ***
fesisIND.2008 0.838407 0.180332 4.6492 4.251e-06 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.152070 0.233667 4.9304 1.112e-06 ***
fesisKOR.1998 0.863332 0.276160 3.1262 0.0018720 **
fesisNOR.2019 1.017257 0.375232 2.7110 0.0069345 **
fesisRUS.2003 -0.736823 0.196662 -3.7466 0.0001997 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.500201 0.218963 6.8514 2.119e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.194735 0.215179 -5.5523 4.546e-08 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -0.757414 0.173776 -4.3586 1.585e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.5491 1 0.03294 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 4.0607 1 0.04389 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.35794
R-squared 0.94960
Log-lik.(n=600) -189.43330 Ihs Count
0.01
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:53:09 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.355453 0.036008 9.8714 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 1.193731 0.193529 6.1682 1.366e-09 ***
ihs_pop -3.910027 0.727669 -5.3734 1.157e-07 ***
idAUT -1.727873 0.658422 -2.6243 0.0089327 **
idBEL -1.074141 0.496894 -2.1617 0.0310849 *
idBRA 6.822929 1.538852 4.4338 1.125e-05 ***
idCAN 2.052983 0.350553 5.8564 8.280e-09 ***
idCHE -2.932637 0.713755 -4.1087 4.604e-05 ***
idCHN 13.196583 2.852718 4.6260 4.686e-06 ***
idDEU 6.675858 0.991689 6.7318 4.343e-11 ***
idDNK -4.259847 0.990371 -4.3013 2.020e-05 ***
idESP 4.315881 0.597156 7.2274 1.715e-12 ***
idFIN -3.428384 0.958420 -3.5771 0.0003790 ***
idFRA 4.663467 0.802551 5.8108 1.071e-08 ***
idGBR 5.111727 0.797262 6.4116 3.176e-10 ***
idIND 10.773209 2.721250 3.9589 8.550e-05 ***
idISR -3.778446 0.772024 -4.8942 1.310e-06 ***
idITA 4.318683 0.746378 5.7862 1.229e-08 ***
idJPN 0.514387 1.472086 0.3494 0.7269065
idKOR -3.955716 1.224677 -3.2300 0.0013142 **
idNLD 0.687822 0.247142 2.7831 0.0055753 **
idNOR -6.462545 1.142853 -5.6547 2.548e-08 ***
idRUS 3.464050 1.380159 2.5099 0.0123721 *
idSGP -4.914600 1.122791 -4.3771 1.448e-05 ***
idSWE -3.312836 0.690102 -4.8005 2.059e-06 ***
idTWN 0.927851 0.187412 4.9509 9.929e-07 ***
idUSA 9.394933 1.845775 5.0900 4.973e-07 ***
time1996 34.886187 11.925811 2.9253 0.0035882 **
time1997 34.729375 11.933172 2.9103 0.0037615 **
time1998 34.787316 11.938085 2.9140 0.0037184 **
time1999 35.306396 11.944165 2.9560 0.0032550 **
time2000 35.080452 11.953731 2.9347 0.0034828 **
time2001 35.293990 11.960129 2.9510 0.0033071 **
time2002 35.434891 11.967573 2.9609 0.0032040 **
time2003 35.410511 11.973280 2.9575 0.0032394 **
time2004 35.642679 11.980305 2.9751 0.0030617 **
time2005 35.822297 11.987667 2.9883 0.0029350 **
time2006 36.104584 11.996322 3.0096 0.0027394 **
time2007 36.222514 12.000278 3.0185 0.0026621 **
time2008 36.442758 12.006532 3.0352 0.0025208 **
time2009 36.657388 12.014263 3.0512 0.0023931 **
time2010 36.557139 12.021604 3.0410 0.0024743 **
time2011 36.580546 12.026643 3.0416 0.0024689 **
time2012 36.451921 12.030391 3.0300 0.0025643 **
time2013 36.217869 12.034306 3.0096 0.0027401 **
time2014 36.254408 12.037485 3.0118 0.0027203 **
time2015 35.999837 12.041494 2.9896 0.0029219 **
time2016 36.242337 12.045715 3.0087 0.0027474 **
time2017 36.338379 12.050926 3.0154 0.0026887 **
time2018 36.103336 12.056143 2.9946 0.0028757 **
time2019 36.044521 12.059004 2.9890 0.0029279 **
iis7 1.538356 0.507445 3.0316 0.0025511 **
iis31 -2.122629 0.507567 -4.1820 3.379e-05 ***
iis53 1.667366 0.504067 3.3078 0.0010037 **
iis59 -2.367366 0.504014 -4.6970 3.363e-06 ***
iis92 1.604254 0.503973 3.1832 0.0015415 **
iis151 -1.850342 0.511577 -3.6169 0.0003265 ***
iis249 1.430813 0.505575 2.8301 0.0048293 **
iis344 -1.649132 0.505735 -3.2609 0.0011817 **
iis364 -1.978573 0.504832 -3.9193 0.0001004 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.669263 0.208945 3.2031 0.0014410 **
fesisIND.2008 0.831492 0.225426 3.6885 0.0002487 ***
fesisJPN.1999 1.118326 0.311105 3.5947 0.0003549 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.027241 0.240979 -4.2628 2.388e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.763718 0.289799 6.0860 2.214e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.420500 0.288458 -4.9245 1.130e-06 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.068178 0.229401 -4.6564 4.068e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.2127 1 0.1368779
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.3929 1 0.0007372 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.48277
R-squared 0.92401
Log-lik.(n=600) -380.92839 0.05
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:53:06 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.299135 0.032400 9.2324 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_gdp 0.849579 0.234595 3.6215 0.0003226 ***
ihs_pop -2.337982 0.788575 -2.9648 0.0031721 **
idAUT -0.374829 0.715778 -0.5237 0.6007409
idBEL -0.489076 0.518848 -0.9426 0.3463277
idBRA 3.552442 1.714232 2.0723 0.0387432 *
idCAN 1.445934 0.430620 3.3578 0.0008451 ***
idCHE -1.289935 0.754203 -1.7103 0.0878205 .
idCHN 7.528002 3.151415 2.3888 0.0172719 *
idDEU 4.894689 1.098158 4.4572 1.024e-05 ***
idDNK -1.981986 1.051386 -1.8851 0.0599890 .
idESP 3.062034 0.687256 4.4554 1.032e-05 ***
idFIN -1.862488 0.988910 -1.8834 0.0602251 .
idFRA 3.914328 0.961325 4.0718 5.416e-05 ***
idGBR 3.585132 0.899838 3.9842 7.770e-05 ***
idIND 5.602853 2.981451 1.8792 0.0607890 .
idISR -2.220687 0.818640 -2.7127 0.0069030 **
idITA 2.848783 0.892181 3.1931 0.0014957 **
idJPN 0.079945 1.710791 0.0467 0.9627470
idKOR -2.879062 1.508813 -1.9082 0.0569381 .
idNLD 0.800934 0.274241 2.9206 0.0036507 **
idNOR -3.958080 1.214415 -3.2592 0.0011925 **
idRUS 1.541642 1.556908 0.9902 0.3225539
idSGP -3.129599 1.170494 -2.6737 0.0077445 **
idSWE -1.716186 0.733519 -2.3397 0.0196908 *
idTWN 0.029295 0.293912 0.0997 0.9206430
idUSA 6.208687 2.026939 3.0631 0.0023078 **
time1996 17.227574 12.969422 1.3283 0.1846728
time1997 17.089804 12.980009 1.3166 0.1885628
time1998 17.396430 12.981091 1.3401 0.1808049
time1999 17.687132 12.989347 1.3617 0.1739121
time2000 17.464769 12.996758 1.3438 0.1796245
time2001 17.679755 13.004184 1.3595 0.1745823
time2002 17.820336 13.010927 1.3696 0.1714080
time2003 17.784782 13.019410 1.3660 0.1725417
time2004 17.969698 13.029936 1.3791 0.1684729
time2005 18.195542 13.030177 1.3964 0.1632040
time2006 18.550227 13.039878 1.4226 0.1554775
time2007 18.732106 13.043075 1.4362 0.1515736
time2008 18.944749 13.053120 1.4514 0.1473024
time2009 19.121883 13.058722 1.4643 0.1437355
time2010 19.041217 13.065940 1.4573 0.1456516
time2011 19.065263 13.071599 1.4585 0.1453186
time2012 18.937485 13.075206 1.4484 0.1481408
time2013 18.687362 13.080360 1.4287 0.1537220
time2014 18.702909 13.085349 1.4293 0.1535371
time2015 18.472010 13.085815 1.4116 0.1586832
time2016 18.695439 13.091728 1.4280 0.1539013
time2017 18.843671 13.095764 1.4389 0.1507958
time2018 18.568661 13.102579 1.4172 0.1570493
time2019 18.589909 13.105977 1.4184 0.1566833
iis22 -1.168793 0.439659 -2.6584 0.0081006 **
iis31 -1.990932 0.440801 -4.5166 7.834e-06 ***
iis36 -1.164119 0.436282 -2.6683 0.0078699 **
iis53 1.646447 0.433987 3.7938 0.0001664 ***
iis59 -2.399899 0.433287 -5.5388 4.911e-08 ***
iis72 -1.140428 0.435056 -2.6213 0.0090232 **
iis92 1.540559 0.432962 3.5582 0.0004087 ***
iis98 -1.250923 0.435019 -2.8756 0.0042038 **
iis123 -1.475811 0.450806 -3.2737 0.0011343 **
iis131 -1.396151 0.439795 -3.1745 0.0015924 **
iis133 -0.938697 0.439342 -2.1366 0.0331118 *
iis149 -1.123098 0.463999 -2.4205 0.0158527 *
iis249 1.315748 0.447752 2.9386 0.0034485 **
iis267 -1.381540 0.437426 -3.1583 0.0016819 **
iis291 -1.609196 0.434386 -3.7045 0.0002352 ***
iis338 1.083044 0.445700 2.4300 0.0154476 *
iis344 -1.620517 0.437066 -3.7077 0.0002323 ***
iis364 -2.060409 0.474152 -4.3455 1.682e-05 ***
iis387 -1.279027 0.519683 -2.4612 0.0141827 *
iis410 -1.423181 0.437328 -3.2543 0.0012132 **
iis552 -1.169881 0.436897 -2.6777 0.0076548 **
iis577 -1.553611 0.435058 -3.5710 0.0003896 ***
fesisAUS.2002 1.077504 0.300243 3.5888 0.0003647 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -1.186488 0.276345 -4.2935 2.110e-05 ***
fesisAUT.1998 -1.304639 0.424270 -3.0750 0.0022191 **
fesisAUT.2000 1.862312 0.423673 4.3956 1.348e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.044474 0.319934 -3.2647 0.0011705 **
fesisCHE.2005 -0.432143 0.194281 -2.2243 0.0265690 *
fesisCHN.2002 -1.315535 0.359346 -3.6609 0.0002779 ***
fesisCHN.2004 1.834330 0.357957 5.1244 4.259e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.704213 0.182274 3.8635 0.0001264 ***
fesisFIN.2007 -1.329855 0.445578 -2.9846 0.0029778 **
fesisFIN.2008 1.130649 0.441761 2.5594 0.0107757 *
fesisFRA.1998 -0.880715 0.316305 -2.7844 0.0055646 **
fesisIND.2005 0.854755 0.215090 3.9739 8.102e-05 ***
fesisISR.2015 -0.747039 0.241757 -3.0900 0.0021119 **
fesisITA.2001 -1.112364 0.473819 -2.3477 0.0192778 *
fesisITA.2002 1.040171 0.437526 2.3774 0.0178078 *
fesisJPN.1999 1.327598 0.357010 3.7187 0.0002228 ***
fesisJPN.2004 -0.638377 0.225963 -2.8251 0.0049135 **
fesisRUS.2004 -0.798162 0.224577 -3.5541 0.0004150 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.713685 0.256722 6.6753 6.526e-11 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.553941 0.251767 -6.1721 1.386e-09 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.027585 0.202263 -5.0804 5.313e-07 ***
fesisTWN.2003 0.785838 0.196477 3.9997 7.294e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.0018905 1 0.9653
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.9818473 1 0.0842 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.41411
R-squared 0.94713
Log-lik.(n=600) -274.38201 Batteries
top_25
Count
0.01
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:10:21 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.6087e-01 1.2790e-02 75.1283 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -1.5854e-14 3.1075e-14 -0.5102 0.6101269
pop 4.4566e-08 3.8923e-08 1.1450 0.2527330
idAUT 2.4996e+00 6.6947e+00 0.3734 0.7090273
idBEL -8.5570e-02 6.6873e+00 -0.0128 0.9897955
idBRA -8.6319e+00 9.3754e+00 -0.9207 0.3576288
idCAN 1.6671e+00 6.6993e+00 0.2489 0.8035716
idCHE 5.9707e-01 6.6958e+00 0.0892 0.9289800
idCHN -3.2565e+01 5.0332e+01 -0.6470 0.5179085
idDEU 2.7644e+01 7.7939e+00 3.5469 0.0004246 ***
idDNK -1.7438e-01 6.7038e+00 -0.0260 0.9792574
idESP -1.7189e+00 6.7343e+00 -0.2552 0.7986325
idFIN -1.6012e-01 6.7035e+00 -0.0239 0.9809530
idFRA 6.4706e+00 6.9271e+00 0.9341 0.3506820
idGBR 3.0332e+00 6.8684e+00 0.4416 0.6589443
idIND -5.0688e+01 4.5743e+01 -1.1081 0.2683264
idISR -1.8410e-01 6.6972e+00 -0.0275 0.9780807
idITA -1.2798e+00 6.8308e+00 -0.1874 0.8514508
idJPN 5.5553e+01 1.8007e+01 3.0850 0.0021423 **
idKOR 4.6643e+01 3.1610e+01 1.4755 0.1406634
idNLD -3.0731e-01 6.6775e+00 -0.0460 0.9633107
idNOR -1.1246e-01 6.7071e+00 -0.0168 0.9866284
idRUS -5.1516e+00 8.2849e+00 -0.6218 0.5343381
idSGP 1.4691e-01 6.7056e+00 0.0219 0.9825294
idSWE 4.2076e-01 6.6923e+00 0.0629 0.9498928
idTWN 5.3310e+00 6.7049e+00 0.7951 0.4269187
idUSA 3.4254e+01 1.4087e+01 2.4315 0.0153676 *
time1996 -3.7431e+00 6.5849e+00 -0.5684 0.5699851
time1997 -5.5353e-01 6.5817e+00 -0.0841 0.9330080
time1998 -6.0254e+00 6.5826e+00 -0.9154 0.3604187
time1999 -3.8021e+00 6.6351e+00 -0.5730 0.5668726
time2000 -1.1583e-01 6.5736e+00 -0.0176 0.9859483
time2001 -6.0133e+00 6.5731e+00 -0.9148 0.3606990
time2002 -1.0101e+01 6.5760e+00 -1.5361 0.1251173
time2003 -4.5324e+00 6.5826e+00 -0.6885 0.4914112
time2004 6.0162e+00 6.5872e+00 0.9133 0.3614872
time2005 2.9836e+00 6.5878e+00 0.4529 0.6508070
time2006 -2.8640e+00 6.5931e+00 -0.4344 0.6641790
time2007 4.1768e+00 6.6659e+00 0.6266 0.5311980
time2008 -4.3484e+00 6.6105e+00 -0.6578 0.5109458
time2009 1.2523e+01 6.7413e+00 1.8577 0.0637736 .
time2010 1.1329e+01 6.7516e+00 1.6779 0.0939524 .
time2011 7.1052e+00 6.7135e+00 1.0583 0.2903849
time2012 3.9573e+00 6.7305e+00 0.5880 0.5568055
time2013 -7.0121e+00 6.8626e+00 -1.0218 0.3073537
time2014 -1.0926e+00 6.7628e+00 -0.1616 0.8717117
time2015 -5.0295e+00 6.7739e+00 -0.7425 0.4581286
time2016 2.6830e+00 6.7551e+00 0.3972 0.6913975
time2017 1.5514e+01 6.8153e+00 2.2763 0.0232281 *
time2018 6.3072e+00 6.8467e+00 0.9212 0.3573680
time2019 -9.7064e+00 6.8698e+00 -1.4129 0.1582722
iis165 2.8801e+02 2.4528e+01 11.7423 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 1.7086e+02 2.5297e+01 6.7545 3.801e-11 ***
iis167 1.6522e+02 2.5952e+01 6.3665 4.212e-10 ***
iis168 2.1141e+02 2.6688e+01 7.9215 1.402e-14 ***
iis388 1.8243e+02 2.4785e+01 7.3607 7.076e-13 ***
iis396 1.6294e+02 2.4784e+01 6.5743 1.178e-10 ***
iis398 2.1428e+02 3.0233e+01 7.0877 4.399e-12 ***
iis399 6.4409e+02 2.8895e+01 22.2904 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 4.2163e+02 2.7266e+01 15.4635 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.0979e+02 2.7752e+01 -3.9562 8.656e-05 ***
iis402 -3.4759e+02 2.7586e+01 -12.6005 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis408 -5.7904e+02 3.3424e+01 -17.3243 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis422 1.6701e+02 2.8654e+01 5.8286 9.747e-09 ***
iis423 1.9340e+02 2.7083e+01 7.1410 3.092e-12 ***
iis426 1.9885e+02 2.5832e+01 7.6975 6.893e-14 ***
iis427 -2.7152e+02 2.5959e+01 -10.4595 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -2.7138e+02 2.5561e+01 -10.6169 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 1.8971e+02 2.4280e+01 7.8138 3.029e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2009 6.3661e+01 2.2751e+01 2.7981 0.0053282 **
fesisJPN.2017 3.6436e+02 2.7283e+01 13.3546 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2018 -2.8327e+02 3.3766e+01 -8.3892 4.514e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 1.2251e+02 2.4285e+01 5.0445 6.266e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7841 1 0.1817
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 23.5835 1 1.196e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 23.12223
R-squared 0.99692
Log-lik.(n=600) -2699.33970 0.05
Formula: count~ gdp + pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:10:18 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 9.4508e-01 1.2118e-02 77.9889 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -8.5536e-14 4.8028e-14 -1.7810 0.0755195 .
pop 2.9709e-07 6.0267e-08 4.9295 1.119e-06 ***
idAUT 5.8310e+00 4.9523e+00 1.1774 0.2395786
idBEL 2.4709e+00 4.9246e+00 0.5017 0.6160624
idBRA -5.1381e+01 1.1328e+01 -4.5357 7.177e-06 ***
idCAN -8.9409e-01 4.9337e+00 -0.1812 0.8562676
idCHE 4.0254e+00 4.9548e+00 0.8124 0.4169328
idCHN -3.5279e+02 7.6932e+01 -4.5857 5.709e-06 ***
idDEU -1.5017e+00 6.9215e+00 -0.2170 0.8283271
idDNK 3.7689e+00 4.9748e+00 0.7576 0.4490370
idESP -7.5782e+00 5.0797e+00 -1.4919 0.1363613
idFIN 3.7250e+00 4.9752e+00 0.7487 0.4543767
idFRA -3.1601e+00 5.4621e+00 -0.5786 0.5631457
idGBR -6.7190e+00 5.4257e+00 -1.2384 0.2161516
idIND -3.0009e+02 6.2366e+01 -4.8118 1.977e-06 ***
idISR 3.3871e+00 4.9599e+00 0.6829 0.4949896
idITA -1.0587e+01 5.3679e+00 -1.9723 0.0491171 *
idJPN 6.3804e+01 2.4080e+01 2.6496 0.0083103 **
idKOR 2.5610e+02 5.5329e+01 4.6286 4.684e-06 ***
idNLD 8.8560e-01 4.8939e+00 0.1810 0.8564723
idNOR 4.0587e+00 4.9842e+00 0.8143 0.4158514
idRUS -3.1510e+01 9.1021e+00 -3.4618 0.0005820 ***
idSGP 4.2099e+00 4.9830e+00 0.8449 0.3985913
idSWE 3.6094e+00 4.9417e+00 0.7304 0.4654830
idTWN 5.6810e+00 4.9195e+00 1.1548 0.2487200
idUSA -2.7395e+01 1.6732e+01 -1.6373 0.1021956
time1996 -6.3427e+00 4.9230e+00 -1.2884 0.1982069
time1997 -3.0755e+00 4.9357e+00 -0.6231 0.5334919
time1998 -8.1282e+00 4.9462e+00 -1.6433 0.1009368
time1999 -7.6021e+00 5.0003e+00 -1.5203 0.1290543
time2000 -8.2580e+00 5.0184e+00 -1.6455 0.1004777
time2001 -7.9821e+00 5.0110e+00 -1.5929 0.1118030
time2002 -1.0268e+01 5.0344e+00 -2.0395 0.0419171 *
time2003 -1.0249e+01 5.0523e+00 -2.0285 0.0430339 *
time2004 -3.5761e+00 5.0018e+00 -0.7150 0.4749621
time2005 -7.4413e+00 5.0468e+00 -1.4744 0.1409831
time2006 -5.4429e+00 5.0025e+00 -1.0880 0.2770994
time2007 -8.7195e-01 5.0825e+00 -0.1716 0.8638524
time2008 -6.9020e+00 5.0216e+00 -1.3745 0.1699064
time2009 4.2914e+00 5.0430e+00 0.8509 0.3951997
time2010 3.0767e+00 5.0493e+00 0.6093 0.5425757
time2011 -1.9091e+00 5.0533e+00 -0.3778 0.7057437
time2012 -5.0351e+00 5.0645e+00 -0.9942 0.3206030
time2013 -6.6113e+00 5.1988e+00 -1.2717 0.2040656
time2014 -7.6552e+00 5.0919e+00 -1.5034 0.1333583
time2015 -4.9464e+00 5.1555e+00 -0.9595 0.3377900
time2016 -3.9189e+00 5.0881e+00 -0.7702 0.4415390
time2017 8.8828e+00 5.1352e+00 1.7298 0.0842812 .
time2018 -2.0824e-02 5.1523e+00 -0.0040 0.9967768
time2019 -1.5916e+01 5.1728e+00 -3.0769 0.0022050 **
iis165 2.7600e+02 1.8305e+01 15.0783 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis166 1.6189e+02 1.8993e+01 8.5238 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis167 1.5762e+02 1.9636e+01 8.0269 7.037e-15 ***
iis168 2.0538e+02 2.0365e+01 10.0849 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis186 -1.4955e+02 1.9010e+01 -7.8666 2.222e-14 ***
iis188 -1.6482e+02 1.8943e+01 -8.7008 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis388 2.6424e+02 2.1478e+01 12.3024 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis389 1.9487e+02 2.1202e+01 9.1910 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis394 1.1337e+02 1.9357e+01 5.8568 8.501e-09 ***
iis396 1.7196e+02 1.9360e+01 8.8823 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis398 1.9752e+02 2.3582e+01 8.3759 5.427e-16 ***
iis399 6.3348e+02 2.1986e+01 28.8128 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis400 4.2318e+02 1.9979e+01 21.1816 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis401 -1.0043e+02 2.0539e+01 -4.8897 1.359e-06 ***
iis402 -3.4828e+02 2.0359e+01 -17.1069 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis406 3.6850e+02 1.9977e+01 18.4463 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis407 9.1660e+01 2.0638e+01 4.4414 1.098e-05 ***
iis408 -4.8604e+02 2.0947e+01 -23.2029 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis409 -1.7079e+02 2.9997e+01 -5.6934 2.113e-08 ***
iis410 -1.7756e+02 2.8815e+01 -6.1621 1.466e-09 ***
iis411 -1.9831e+02 2.9881e+01 -6.6365 8.282e-11 ***
iis412 -1.6402e+02 2.7742e+01 -5.9123 6.211e-09 ***
iis413 -1.6691e+02 2.6252e+01 -6.3579 4.574e-10 ***
iis414 -1.2933e+02 2.5563e+01 -5.0595 5.890e-07 ***
iis415 -1.7766e+02 2.4777e+01 -7.1705 2.666e-12 ***
iis416 -1.3022e+02 2.4558e+01 -5.3025 1.710e-07 ***
iis418 -9.1265e+01 2.4575e+01 -3.7138 0.0002269 ***
iis420 5.2211e+01 2.1187e+01 2.4643 0.0140592 *
iis422 1.2977e+02 2.5629e+01 5.0636 5.773e-07 ***
iis423 1.6746e+02 2.2579e+01 7.4164 5.108e-13 ***
iis426 1.8256e+02 1.9654e+01 9.2890 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis427 -2.7284e+02 1.9481e+01 -14.0056 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis428 -2.7919e+02 1.8798e+01 -14.8522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis594 1.8377e+02 1.7857e+01 10.2910 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2009 1.0200e+02 1.0461e+01 9.7501 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2013 -5.3682e+01 1.1716e+01 -4.5821 5.804e-06 ***
fesisIND.2004 -3.5725e+01 1.2105e+01 -2.9513 0.0033117 **
fesisIND.2009 -3.7628e+01 1.2236e+01 -3.0751 0.0022177 **
fesisJPN.1999 -7.6312e+01 1.6326e+01 -4.6743 3.788e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2003 8.4606e+01 1.5016e+01 5.6345 2.918e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2009 9.1494e+01 1.9671e+01 4.6512 4.218e-06 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -1.7302e+02 2.2464e+01 -7.7021 7.103e-14 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.1736e+02 2.4564e+01 8.8487 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.017737 1 0.894049
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.293489 1 0.003979 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 16.92184
R-squared 0.99842
Log-lik.(n=600) -2501.52628 Log Count
0.01
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:18:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.246771 0.035776 6.8976 1.517e-11 ***
lgdp 1.524934 0.140902 10.8227 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.921803 0.448591 -6.5133 1.715e-10 ***
idAUT -0.433131 0.367607 -1.1782 0.2392294
idBEL -0.180026 0.279094 -0.6450 0.5191843
idBRA 4.262242 0.919723 4.6343 4.518e-06 ***
idCAN 2.126291 0.230344 9.2310 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -1.261275 0.412062 -3.0609 0.0023191 **
idCHN 9.154788 1.680717 5.4470 7.867e-08 ***
idDEU 5.328728 0.609653 8.7406 < 2.2e-16 ***
idDNK -4.060320 0.646981 -6.2758 7.258e-10 ***
idESP 2.335836 0.366067 6.3809 3.854e-10 ***
idFIN -1.499006 0.539989 -2.7760 0.0056987 **
idFRA 4.299226 0.506224 8.4927 < 2.2e-16 ***
idGBR 3.998604 0.496779 8.0491 5.555e-15 ***
idIND 5.892144 1.588410 3.7095 0.0002297 ***
idISR -2.183888 0.458376 -4.7644 2.451e-06 ***
idITA 3.131585 0.461836 6.7807 3.211e-11 ***
idJPN 0.089857 0.771651 0.1164 0.9073415
idKOR -4.925875 0.764412 -6.4440 2.625e-10 ***
idNLD 0.988722 0.164286 6.0183 3.299e-09 ***
idNOR -6.103362 0.738629 -8.2631 1.152e-15 ***
idRUS 0.144306 0.765375 0.1885 0.8505232
idSGP -2.352583 0.600377 -3.9185 0.0001008 ***
idSWE -3.806505 0.459157 -8.2902 9.423e-16 ***
idTWN 1.450542 0.196472 7.3829 6.066e-13 ***
idUSA 7.132236 1.091614 6.5337 1.513e-10 ***
time1996 7.621103 6.390605 1.1925 0.2335821
time1997 7.905832 6.393493 1.2365 0.2168064
time1998 7.682641 6.396800 1.2010 0.2302846
time1999 7.782462 6.398869 1.2162 0.2244428
time2000 7.867763 6.401947 1.2290 0.2196327
time2001 7.885478 6.405991 1.2310 0.2188883
time2002 7.721645 6.409280 1.2048 0.2288356
time2003 7.822894 6.411406 1.2202 0.2229517
time2004 7.827165 6.413949 1.2203 0.2228828
time2005 7.976289 6.416845 1.2430 0.2144108
time2006 8.025372 6.420299 1.2500 0.2118534
time2007 8.126669 6.425901 1.2647 0.2065462
time2008 8.142272 6.429816 1.2663 0.2059531
time2009 8.382291 6.433992 1.3028 0.1932064
time2010 8.525861 6.436804 1.3245 0.1858938
time2011 8.611992 6.439718 1.3373 0.1816926
time2012 8.553862 6.442892 1.3276 0.1848697
time2013 8.635493 6.445970 1.3397 0.1809280
time2014 8.528237 6.448482 1.3225 0.1865681
time2015 8.550074 6.451635 1.3253 0.1856591
time2016 8.693603 6.454456 1.3469 0.1785855
time2017 8.777364 6.457099 1.3593 0.1746206
time2018 8.861575 6.459577 1.3719 0.1706925
time2019 8.672866 6.459892 1.3426 0.1799877
iis53 -1.190491 0.342138 -3.4796 0.0005437 ***
iis94 -1.392602 0.375532 -3.7083 0.0002307 ***
iis122 -1.931587 0.342572 -5.6385 2.798e-08 ***
iis128 -1.029156 0.342624 -3.0037 0.0027932 **
iis145 -1.060056 0.353366 -2.9999 0.0028283 **
iis194 -1.999478 0.376969 -5.3041 1.668e-07 ***
iis198 -1.073290 0.346056 -3.1015 0.0020284 **
iis210 -1.353669 0.345505 -3.9179 0.0001010 ***
iis349 1.205247 0.341895 3.5252 0.0004600 ***
iis360 -1.211967 0.346907 -3.4936 0.0005165 ***
iis461 1.149831 0.342457 3.3576 0.0008429 ***
iis467 -1.089619 0.342330 -3.1829 0.0015437 **
iis532 1.253746 0.341736 3.6688 0.0002685 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.664445 0.141181 4.7063 3.226e-06 ***
fesisBRA.2010 -0.926534 0.177867 -5.2091 2.724e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 0.909633 0.225222 4.0388 6.169e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -0.895692 0.188866 -4.7425 2.720e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.638959 0.141474 -4.5164 7.764e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.565524 0.166860 -3.3892 0.0007533 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.722330 0.193241 -3.7380 0.0002058 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.899113 0.174595 5.1497 3.689e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.37830 1 0.5385
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.98856 1 0.3201
SE of regression 0.32751
R-squared 0.97308
Log-lik.(n=600) -145.61293 0.05
Formula: log_count~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Tue Jan 9 19:18:46 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.217060 0.033255 6.5272 1.626e-10 ***
lgdp 1.471397 0.128246 11.4732 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -2.404654 0.453296 -5.3048 1.687e-07 ***
idAUT -0.071937 0.381449 -0.1886 0.8504910
idBEL 0.118483 0.288253 0.4110 0.6812186
idBRA 3.434148 0.943319 3.6405 0.0003000 ***
idCAN 1.912122 0.224336 8.5235 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -0.814969 0.426596 -1.9104 0.0566442 .
idCHN 7.225439 1.728431 4.1803 3.428e-05 ***
idDEU 4.466606 0.630165 7.0880 4.575e-12 ***
idDNK -3.683054 0.644472 -5.7148 1.873e-08 ***
idESP 1.886125 0.363451 5.1895 3.054e-07 ***
idFIN -0.696831 0.559270 -1.2460 0.2133513
idFRA 3.772906 0.504600 7.4770 3.358e-13 ***
idGBR 3.462092 0.495358 6.9891 8.735e-12 ***
idIND 4.013521 1.652206 2.4292 0.0154784 *
idISR -1.268750 0.521748 -2.4317 0.0153716 *
idITA 2.593900 0.464057 5.5896 3.719e-08 ***
idJPN -0.408358 0.776975 -0.5256 0.5994137
idKOR -4.920756 0.711429 -6.9167 1.395e-11 ***
idNLD 0.989840 0.160603 6.1633 1.453e-09 ***
idNOR -5.327133 0.731341 -7.2841 1.243e-12 ***
idRUS -0.784223 0.803218 -0.9764 0.3293549
idSGP -1.676345 0.620250 -2.7027 0.0071083 **
idSWE -3.365730 0.447900 -7.5145 2.597e-13 ***
idTWN 1.522214 0.190486 7.9912 9.041e-15 ***
idUSA 5.971773 1.113935 5.3610 1.258e-07 ***
time1996 0.454989 6.711250 0.0678 0.9459756
time1997 0.765371 6.717116 0.1139 0.9093277
time1998 0.494340 6.717216 0.0736 0.9413632
time1999 0.671126 6.719857 0.0999 0.9204852
time2000 0.704421 6.721363 0.1048 0.9165732
time2001 0.742334 6.725276 0.1104 0.9121518
time2002 0.588826 6.726379 0.0875 0.9302769
time2003 0.721597 6.728821 0.1072 0.9146411
time2004 0.748190 6.732799 0.1111 0.9115602
time2005 0.860526 6.736705 0.1277 0.8984077
time2006 0.920436 6.737932 0.1366 0.8913970
time2007 0.992220 6.745332 0.1471 0.8831136
time2008 1.003973 6.749613 0.1487 0.8818137
time2009 1.277431 6.752896 0.1892 0.8500367
time2010 1.389912 6.755497 0.2057 0.8370723
time2011 1.479893 6.757937 0.2190 0.8267490
time2012 1.460775 6.760890 0.2161 0.8290258
time2013 1.501795 6.763873 0.2220 0.8243783
time2014 1.428886 6.766385 0.2112 0.8328361
time2015 1.396493 6.770077 0.2063 0.8366593
time2016 1.574094 6.773279 0.2324 0.8163228
time2017 1.635346 6.775602 0.2414 0.8093750
time2018 1.736205 6.777717 0.2562 0.7979281
time2019 1.549970 6.778114 0.2287 0.8192153
iis9 -0.828839 0.307578 -2.6947 0.0072780 **
iis53 -1.226885 0.308621 -3.9754 8.046e-05 ***
iis56 -0.899153 0.308039 -2.9190 0.0036678 **
iis94 -1.000809 0.369474 -2.7087 0.0069819 **
iis122 -1.908505 0.307573 -6.2051 1.136e-09 ***
iis128 -1.037235 0.307268 -3.3757 0.0007927 ***
iis145 -1.106686 0.317444 -3.4862 0.0005323 ***
iis193 0.902430 0.330813 2.7279 0.0065943 **
iis194 -1.675070 0.334136 -5.0131 7.409e-07 ***
iis198 -1.657889 0.329114 -5.0374 6.568e-07 ***
iis209 -0.935290 0.310041 -3.0167 0.0026838 **
iis210 -1.360222 0.311444 -4.3675 1.524e-05 ***
iis243 0.777314 0.328233 2.3682 0.0182493 *
iis316 -0.727896 0.308234 -2.3615 0.0185772 *
iis346 -0.688425 0.310448 -2.2175 0.0270292 *
iis349 1.315510 0.309662 4.2482 2.564e-05 ***
iis360 -1.185633 0.312482 -3.7942 0.0001659 ***
iis437 0.692918 0.314810 2.2011 0.0281801 *
iis446 -0.823439 0.311926 -2.6399 0.0085493 **
iis461 1.158041 0.307499 3.7660 0.0001853 ***
iis467 -1.128416 0.306972 -3.6760 0.0002622 ***
iis475 -0.909306 0.306804 -2.9638 0.0031812 **
iis490 0.809941 0.316282 2.5608 0.0107303 *
iis506 -0.870961 0.312267 -2.7892 0.0054829 **
iis532 1.225724 0.306541 3.9986 7.319e-05 ***
iis553 -0.735390 0.335585 -2.1914 0.0288786 *
fesisAUT.2009 0.693553 0.127573 5.4365 8.452e-08 ***
fesisBEL.2016 -0.895130 0.308138 -2.9050 0.0038330 **
fesisBEL.2017 0.954425 0.346042 2.7581 0.0060231 **
fesisBRA.1999 -0.414610 0.197085 -2.1037 0.0358950 *
fesisBRA.2010 -0.874191 0.164699 -5.3078 1.661e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.261740 0.251786 5.0112 7.482e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -0.705723 0.300501 -2.3485 0.0192322 *
fesisDEU.2007 0.468318 0.132046 3.5466 0.0004263 ***
fesisDNK.2004 -0.629291 0.158169 -3.9786 7.941e-05 ***
fesisFIN.2002 -0.373449 0.154428 -2.4183 0.0159448 *
fesisISR.2002 -0.514473 0.159242 -3.2308 0.0013146 **
fesisNLD.2007 -0.522963 0.133170 -3.9270 9.788e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.434117 0.155367 -2.7941 0.0054006 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.719071 0.173383 -4.1473 3.943e-05 ***
fesisTWN.2001 0.777933 0.170876 4.5526 6.639e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.0072035 1 0.932362
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.0140103 1 0.008087 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29335
R-squared 0.97922
Log-lik.(n=600) -69.53206 Ihs Count
0.01
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:54:56 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.214918 0.035649 6.0287 3.111e-09 ***
ihs_gdp 1.500574 0.155138 9.6725 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_pop -2.796951 0.521667 -5.3616 1.236e-07 ***
idAUT -0.410109 0.461047 -0.8895 0.3741305
idBEL -0.561314 0.366352 -1.5322 0.1260810
idBRA 3.680102 1.090967 3.3732 0.0007975 ***
idCAN 2.211481 0.265776 8.3209 7.527e-16 ***
idCHE -1.100033 0.501603 -2.1930 0.0287409 *
idCHN 8.889598 2.021741 4.3970 1.328e-05 ***
idDEU 5.382155 0.709528 7.5855 1.508e-13 ***
idDNK -3.878239 0.747724 -5.1867 3.057e-07 ***
idESP 2.135712 0.418794 5.0997 4.754e-07 ***
idFIN -1.492968 0.671830 -2.2222 0.0266907 *
idFRA 4.336096 0.587135 7.3852 5.989e-13 ***
idGBR 4.005578 0.575002 6.9662 9.749e-12 ***
idIND 5.454948 1.938593 2.8139 0.0050778 **
idISR -1.958871 0.546333 -3.5855 0.0003677 ***
idITA 3.072131 0.538421 5.7058 1.933e-08 ***
idJPN 0.283348 0.987100 0.2871 0.7741858
idKOR -4.635802 0.911833 -5.0840 5.142e-07 ***
idNLD 1.057073 0.199830 5.2899 1.798e-07 ***
idNOR -6.112452 0.841386 -7.2647 1.353e-12 ***
idRUS -0.323950 0.949678 -0.3411 0.7331527
idSGP -2.832737 0.794495 -3.5655 0.0003963 ***
idSWE -3.676851 0.514506 -7.1464 2.984e-12 ***
idTWN 1.446885 0.223622 6.4702 2.239e-10 ***
idUSA 7.099045 1.309018 5.4232 8.933e-08 ***
time1996 7.479673 8.371992 0.8934 0.3720421
time1997 7.847618 8.375631 0.9370 0.3492091
time1998 7.580801 8.379368 0.9047 0.3660386
time1999 7.706833 8.382553 0.9194 0.3583124
time2000 7.823156 8.386989 0.9328 0.3513644
time2001 7.863697 8.391398 0.9371 0.3491291
time2002 7.652378 8.395506 0.9115 0.3624566
time2003 7.770258 8.398757 0.9252 0.3553022
time2004 7.721207 8.399458 0.9193 0.3583851
time2005 7.879410 8.403327 0.9377 0.3488520
time2006 7.990132 8.407682 0.9503 0.3423766
time2007 8.086595 8.412829 0.9612 0.3368814
time2008 8.149254 8.417535 0.9681 0.3334243
time2009 8.355319 8.421850 0.9921 0.3216040
time2010 8.516409 8.425260 1.0108 0.3125672
time2011 8.613026 8.428797 1.0219 0.3073174
time2012 8.548101 8.432500 1.0137 0.3111868
time2013 8.644219 8.436378 1.0246 0.3060049
time2014 8.525893 8.439758 1.0102 0.3128603
time2015 8.568335 8.444924 1.0146 0.3107556
time2016 8.716483 8.448572 1.0317 0.3026808
time2017 8.810109 8.451935 1.0424 0.2977145
time2018 8.905774 8.454988 1.0533 0.2926789
time2019 8.708926 8.455108 1.0300 0.3034733
iis53 -1.266118 0.420941 -3.0078 0.0027569 **
iis94 -1.792676 0.442089 -4.0550 5.771e-05 ***
iis122 -2.503894 0.403159 -6.2107 1.071e-09 ***
iis128 -1.284534 0.403118 -3.1865 0.0015254 **
iis145 -1.342168 0.414779 -3.2359 0.0012889 **
iis194 -2.527816 0.443810 -5.6957 2.044e-08 ***
iis198 -1.517768 0.406953 -3.7296 0.0002126 ***
iis210 -1.766494 0.406486 -4.3458 1.666e-05 ***
iis360 -1.400159 0.408687 -3.4260 0.0006604 ***
iis461 1.397018 0.403016 3.4664 0.0005705 ***
iis467 -1.411873 0.402864 -3.5046 0.0004962 ***
iis490 1.205587 0.404213 2.9825 0.0029909 **
iis532 1.371353 0.402115 3.4104 0.0006985 ***
fesisAUT.2009 0.811632 0.166291 4.8808 1.402e-06 ***
fesisBEL.2004 0.512467 0.181508 2.8234 0.0049316 **
fesisBRA.2010 -1.016474 0.208479 -4.8757 1.438e-06 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.183452 0.264846 4.4685 9.649e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2001 -1.013285 0.221790 -4.5687 6.119e-06 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.681149 0.165568 -4.1140 4.511e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2015 -0.986441 0.208839 -4.7234 2.978e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.750167 0.189099 3.9671 8.283e-05 ***
fesisTWN.2001 1.032020 0.204694 5.0418 6.353e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.014765 1 0.90329
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.904697 1 0.08832 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.38532
R-squared 0.96785
Log-lik.(n=600) -242.65659 0.05
Formula: ihs_count~ ihs_gdp + ihs_pop
top_25 (1995:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Jan 24 16:54:52 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 600
Sample: 1 to 600
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.238885 0.032035 7.4569 3.918e-13 ***
ihs_gdp 1.453903 0.142933 10.1719 < 2.2e-16 ***
ihs_pop -3.407728 0.543229 -6.2731 7.648e-10 ***
idAUT -1.131821 0.469295 -2.4117 0.0162342 *
idBEL -1.098898 0.376703 -2.9171 0.0036908 **
idBRA 4.991011 1.132645 4.4065 1.285e-05 ***
idCAN 2.361827 0.265227 8.9049 < 2.2e-16 ***
idCHE -1.895374 0.518466 -3.6557 0.0002835 ***
idCHN 11.414953 2.097509 5.4421 8.245e-08 ***
idDEU 6.068067 0.729556 8.3175 8.516e-16 ***
idDNK -5.077506 0.774629 -6.5548 1.385e-10 ***
idESP 2.488739 0.428487 5.8082 1.122e-08 ***
idFIN -3.213539 0.744372 -4.3171 1.905e-05 ***
idFRA 4.879403 0.603254 8.0885 4.571e-15 ***
idGBR 4.536016 0.591355 7.6705 8.963e-14 ***
idIND 8.112211 2.011817 4.0323 6.383e-05 ***
idISR -2.664405 0.607592 -4.3852 1.413e-05 ***
idITA 3.593424 0.554756 6.4775 2.227e-10 ***
idJPN 1.434182 0.950625 1.5087 0.1320115
idKOR -3.996597 0.823991 -4.8503 1.647e-06 ***
idNLD 0.693856 0.188764 3.6758 0.0002627 ***
idNOR -7.236381 0.884368 -8.1825 2.302e-15 ***
idRUS 0.126221 1.048383 0.1204 0.9042178
idSGP -3.730145 0.821172 -4.5425 6.971e-06 ***
idSWE -4.229070 0.527131 -8.0228 7.353e-15 ***
idTWN 1.594485 0.213144 7.4808 3.328e-13 ***
idUSA 8.638170 1.352004 6.3892 3.810e-10 ***
time1996 19.662513 8.558052 2.2975 0.0219981 *
time1997 19.883850 8.561593 2.3224 0.0206078 *
time1998 19.602871 8.566670 2.2883 0.0225364 *
time1999 19.810936 8.570285 2.3116 0.0212046 *
time2000 19.834135 8.572488 2.3137 0.0210874 *
time2001 19.896494 8.577127 2.3197 0.0207565 *
time2002 19.663561 8.580488 2.2917 0.0223385 *
time2003 19.876534 8.583487 2.3157 0.0209783 *
time2004 19.885958 8.584500 2.3165 0.0209330 *
time2005 20.018230 8.587278 2.3311 0.0201404 *
time2006 20.064467 8.591516 2.3354 0.0199165 *
time2007 20.187824 8.598218 2.3479 0.0192664 *
time2008 20.206517 8.601502 2.3492 0.0192012 *
time2009 20.508934 8.604716 2.3835 0.0175219 *
time2010 20.613589 8.607283 2.3949 0.0169904 *
time2011 20.710684 8.610694 2.4052 0.0165232 *
time2012 20.694506 8.614585 2.4023 0.0166562 *
time2013 20.748669 8.618265 2.4075 0.0164210 *
time2014 20.688169 8.621601 2.3996 0.0167776 *
time2015 20.657527 8.625790 2.3949 0.0169925 *
time2016 20.809872 8.629389 2.4115 0.0162445 *
time2017 20.885521 8.632335 2.4195 0.0158982 *
time2018 21.036807 8.635418 2.4361 0.0151930 *
time2019 20.830183 8.636936 2.4118 0.0162338 *
iis3 -1.073469 0.348207 -3.0829 0.0021630 **
iis9 -1.103195 0.347857 -3.1714 0.0016098 **
iis53 -1.687517 0.348453 -4.8429 1.707e-06 ***
iis56 -1.313397 0.348011 -3.7740 0.0001798 ***
iis94 -1.366086 0.417382 -3.2730 0.0011375 **
iis122 -2.450707 0.347312 -7.0562 5.712e-12 ***
iis123 0.789174 0.355304 2.2211 0.0267882 *
iis128 -1.294703 0.347203 -3.7290 0.0002142 ***
iis145 -1.473210 0.360525 -4.0863 5.102e-05 ***
iis193 0.889892 0.374935 2.3735 0.0179977 *
iis194 -2.205299 0.377696 -5.8388 9.449e-09 ***
iis198 -2.178984 0.371596 -5.8639 8.207e-09 ***
iis209 -1.185470 0.349731 -3.3897 0.0007549 ***
iis210 -1.753637 0.351471 -4.9894 8.362e-07 ***
iis249 -1.073191 0.346931 -3.0934 0.0020891 **
iis313 -1.367035 0.353384 -3.8684 0.0001240 ***
iis316 -1.264415 0.349172 -3.6212 0.0003231 ***
iis346 -1.109898 0.354519 -3.1307 0.0018454 **
iis360 -1.169431 0.356332 -3.2819 0.0011030 **
iis437 0.775748 0.355088 2.1847 0.0293751 *
iis446 -0.976827 0.351856 -2.7762 0.0057050 **
iis461 1.637830 0.352335 4.6485 4.279e-06 ***
iis467 -1.231456 0.352505 -3.4934 0.0005190 ***
iis475 -1.308331 0.358284 -3.6517 0.0002879 ***
iis478 0.894862 0.358604 2.4954 0.0129015 *
iis490 0.875649 0.357835 2.4471 0.0147439 *
iis506 -0.992889 0.366863 -2.7064 0.0070326 **
iis512 -0.857790 0.365731 -2.3454 0.0193944 *
iis532 1.346030 0.345749 3.8931 0.0001123 ***
iis553 -1.087560 0.379738 -2.8640 0.0043588 **
fesisAUT.2009 0.767711 0.143443 5.3520 1.325e-07 ***
fesisBEL.2000 0.472561 0.189553 2.4930 0.0129867 *
fesisBRA.2010 -0.984474 0.180163 -5.4644 7.328e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2015 1.633792 0.284108 5.7506 1.546e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2017 -0.845261 0.338795 -2.4949 0.0129193 *
fesisDNK.2004 -0.688973 0.178058 -3.8694 0.0001235 ***
fesisFIN.1997 1.613184 0.416257 3.8754 0.0001205 ***
fesisFIN.1999 -0.906063 0.252572 -3.5873 0.0003668 ***
fesisISR.2008 1.152938 0.355498 3.2432 0.0012608 **
fesisISR.2009 -1.343795 0.356090 -3.7737 0.0001800 ***
fesisNLD.2007 -0.535866 0.149309 -3.5890 0.0003645 ***
fesisNOR.2010 0.442994 0.157571 2.8114 0.0051256 **
fesisRUS.1997 1.103542 0.361088 3.0562 0.0023613 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.515336 0.175835 -2.9308 0.0035350 **
fesisRUS.2015 -0.768806 0.195310 -3.9363 9.441e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2004 0.603089 0.182346 3.3074 0.0010092 **
fesisTWN.2001 0.766962 0.192114 3.9922 7.523e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.44324 1 0.5055642
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.23776 1 0.0002744 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33089
R-squared 0.97741
Log-lik.(n=600) -138.78953